Türkiye and Armenia
Turkish-Armenian normalisation advanced in May 2026 through administrative preparations for trade identifying both countries directly as origin and destination. Goods still transited third countries: this step did not mean the land border had opened.
Analysis reviewed: 2026-10-08 · Indicators updated: 2026-10-08Bilateral context
Türkiye’s foreign ministry spokesperson announced on 13 May 2026 that procedures to begin direct trade had concluded on the 11th.
What merchandise trade shows
In 2025, goods trade between Türkiye and Armenia totalled 10.4 million current USD.
Documented trade sectors
Within the selected chapters, machinery and mechanical appliances stands out in shipments from Türkiye to Armenia, at 3.3 million USD in 2025.
Bilateral indicators
Blank cells: data unavailable.
| Indicator | Value | Period |
|---|---|---|
| Goods trade | 10.43 M USD | 2025 · Comtrade |
| Goods: Türkiye to Armenia | 4.41 M USD | 2025 · Comtrade |
| Goods: Armenia to Türkiye | 6.02 M USD | 2025 · Comtrade |
| Services trade | ||
| Export share: Türkiye to Armenia | ||
| Export share: Armenia to Türkiye | ||
| Investment stock: Türkiye in Armenia | ||
| Investment stock: Armenia in Türkiye |
Definitions and sources
Trade adds both directions. Shares refer to the country’s total goods exports; investment is an accumulated stock, not an annual flow. Every figure retains the currency and period of its source. BEA positions are historical-cost estimates based on the immediate counterpart, not market values or investment by ultimate owner. ‘More than’ indicates a lower bound, not an exact amount. A recorded stock does not establish new activity or authorisation to operate under sanctions.
- Goods trade
- 2025 · UN Comtrade · Goods; full calendar year; reporter TUR. Both directions come from the same verified customs document, not from adding mirror declarations together. Exports generally FOB; imports generally CIF.
- Goods: Türkiye to Armenia
- 2025 · UN Comtrade · Goods; full calendar year; reporter TUR. Both directions come from the same verified customs document, not from adding mirror declarations together. Exports generally FOB; imports generally CIF.
- Goods: Armenia to Türkiye
- 2025 · UN Comtrade · Goods; full calendar year; reporter TUR. Both directions come from the same verified customs document, not from adding mirror declarations together. Exports generally FOB; imports generally CIF.
Country comparison
Period and source beside each figure · est. = estimate by the stated institution.
Some annual indicators refer to different years. Check the period beside each value before comparing them.
| Indicator | Türkiye | Armenia |
|---|---|---|
| Nominal GDP | 1.6 trillion USD2025 · WB | 29.24 billion USD2025 · WB |
| GDP per capita | 18,599.44 USD2025 · WB | 9,474.02 USD2025 · WB |
| GDP growth | 3.6 %2025 · WB | 7.2 %2025 · WB |
| Policy interest rate | 37 %2026-09-10 · TCMB | |
| Inflation · annual average | 34.88 %Annual average · 2025 · WB | 3.31 %Annual average · 2025 · WB |
| Inflation · latest year-on-year figure | 29.73 %Headline CPI · 2026-09 · year-on-year · TCMB / TURKSTAT | |
| Unemployment | 8.52 %ILO est.2025 · WB | 12.87 %ILO est.2025 · WB |
| Budget balance (% of GDP) | -2.8 %IMF est.2025 · IMF | -3.7 %IMF est.2025 · IMF |
| Gross public debt (% of GDP) | 23.5 %IMF est.2025 · IMF | 49 %IMF est.2025 · IMF |
| Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.77 %2024 · WB | -7.22 %2025 · WB |
| Population | 85,878,5562025 · WB | 3,086,7002025 · WB |
| Area | 785,350 km²2023 · WB | 29,740 km²2023 · WB |
| Military expenditure | ||
| Military expenditure (% of GDP) |
Definitions, dates and sources
Blank cells are not zero. Average annual inflation and the latest year-on-year figure appear in separate rows: they are not the same measure. Every annual indicator retains its reference year; when the years differ, the figures are identified as not directly comparable. When a figure is unavailable from the World Bank, an annual IMF estimate is used and identified as such. The latest year-on-year figure is the latest official release verified as of 7 October 2026. This includes advance releases marked as provisional. Mexico may have a fortnightly figure before the full month is published; it is not automatically compared with a monthly figure. The publication date is retained in each source’s details; it does not replace the observation period or the annual average. Policy rates carry their own dates and represent different instruments. Spain and France share the ECB rate. Balances are positive for surpluses and negative for deficits. The IMF may use fiscal years; unemployment retains each source’s definition (ILO estimates, IMF WEO or PCBS), as stated in the details. For Palestine, debt and the fiscal balance cover central government and retain the PCBS definition; they are not presented as consolidated general government. These are economic magnitudes, not measures of relationship quality.
Area retains each source’s territorial coverage; it does not determine sovereignty or effective control. Canada uses an archived national geographic reference. Military expenditure retains the 2024 SIPRI sample distributed by the World Bank: the amount and percentage of GDP use that same definition, which differs from NATO’s. It is not an approved budget or a 2026 figure. Information from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). Military expenditure database · Terms of use0
Indicators reviewed: 2026-10-07. Each source retains its original access date; this review does not turn all the data into 2026 observations. Figures may be revised.
- Nominal GDP
- Current USDTürkiye: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series; latest verified period available for this series in the 2023–2025 query.Armenia: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.
- GDP per capita
- Current USD per personTürkiye: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series; latest verified period available for this series in the 2023–2025 query.Armenia: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.
- GDP growth
- Annual real change (%)Türkiye: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series; latest verified period available for this series in the 2023–2025 query.Armenia: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.
- Policy interest rate
- Central bank instrument (%)Türkiye: 2026-09-10 · One-week repo auction rate · TCMB · Official central-bank decision; not a commercial lending rate or a bill yield.
- Inflation · annual average
- Average annual change in headline CPI (%)Türkiye: 2025 · Annual average change in the CPI (%) · World Bank · Official World Bank series; latest verified period available for this series in the 2023–2025 query.Armenia: 2025 · Annual average change in the CPI (%) · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.
- Inflation · latest year-on-year figure
- Headline CPI relative to the same period of the previous year (%); monthly or fortnightly frequency statedTürkiye: 2026-09 · National headline CPI, change from the same month of the previous year · TCMB / TURKSTAT · Official monthly data. Not mixed with the annual average. · Alternative official source; verified 2026-10-07
- Unemployment
- % of the labour force; definition used by the stated institutionTürkiye: 2025 · ILO modelled estimate, % of the labour force · World Bank · ILO est. · Official World Bank series; latest verified period available for this series in the 2023–2025 query.Armenia: 2025 · ILO modelled estimate; percentage of the labour force · World Bank · ILO est. · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.
- Budget balance
- General government (% of GDP)Türkiye: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · IMF WEO estimate, not a monthly observation. Retains the country's fiscal year where it differs from the calendar year.Armenia: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.
- Gross public debt
- General government (% of GDP)Türkiye: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · IMF WEO estimate, not a monthly observation. Retains the country's fiscal year where it differs from the calendar year.Armenia: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.
- Current account balance
- % of GDPTürkiye: 2024 · World Bank · Official World Bank series; latest verified period available for this series in the 2023–2025 query.Armenia: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.
- Population
- PeopleTürkiye: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series; latest verified period available for this series in the 2023–2025 query.Armenia: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.
- Area
- Total area in km²; territorial coverage of the sourceTürkiye: 2023 · World Bank / FAO · Official World Bank series; latest verified period available for this series in the 2023–2025 query.Armenia: 2023 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.
- Military expenditure
- Current USD per year; SIPRI series
- Military expenditure (% of GDP)
- Percentage of GDP; SIPRI definition, not NATO’s definition
Other data specific to this relationship
What they buy and sell
Documented selection, not an exhaustive list. Cells without a figure do not mean zero value; some products are identified without a verified amount.
Türkiye to Armenia
Armenia to Türkiye
How trade has changed
Millions of current USD · full calendar years
View chart figures
| Period | Total | Türkiye to Armenia | Armenia to Türkiye |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 6 | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 2022 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 8.7 |
| 2023 | 25.9 | 22.6 | 3.3 |
| 2024 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 4.9 |
| 2025 | 10.4 | 4.4 | 6 |
Connections between people
They also examined rehabilitation of Kars–Gyumri railway and electricity interconnection, academic and cultural contacts, scholarships and restoration of Ani’s historical bridge. [1] [2]
Residents, study and travel
Blank cells: data unavailable. Each measure retains its definition and period.
| Indicator | Value | Period / source |
|---|---|---|
| Residents from Türkiye living in Armenia | ||
| Residents from Armenia living in Türkiye | ||
| Study and training: Türkiye in Armenia | ||
| Study and training: Armenia in Türkiye | ||
| Academic stays: Türkiye in Armenia | ||
| Academic stays: Armenia in Türkiye | ||
| Travel: Türkiye to Armenia | ||
| Travel: Armenia to Türkiye |
What each figure measures
Residents are counted by nationality and the coverage of the stated register, not as people born in the other country or as new arrivals in one year. PERE includes dual nationals and people born outside Spain. Study with OPT and stays carrying academic credit are different measures. Travel may include several visits by the same person; FRONTUR arrivals require an overnight stay, whereas the Canadian survey includes day visits. These figures are neither added together nor automatically compared across directions.
Mobility data added or reviewed: 2026-10-07. Reference periods may be earlier.
Underlying ties
History, institutions and long-standing issues.
The scale of both economies
Nominal GDP for Türkiye is 1,597.3 billion USD (2025), compared with 29.2 for Armenia (2025). The reference populations are 85.88 and 3.09 million, respectively. In the same year, the economy of Türkiye was 54.62 times that of Armenia in nominal GDP. The comparison provides context on market size, but does not, on its own, measure influence, well-being or diplomatic closeness. Estimates and their sources retain their labels in the tables. [5] [6] [7] [8]
Recent developments
Recent developments and latest available data · Review: 2026-10-08
Bilateral context
Türkiye’s foreign ministry spokesperson announced on 13 May 2026 that procedures to begin direct trade had concluded on the 11th. The mechanism allowed Türkiye and Armenia to be listed as origin and final destination but retained third-country transit. [1] [2]
Cooperation and bilateral issues
Border opening work continued separately. At the sixth special representatives’ meeting in Yerevan on 12 September 2025, Serdar Kılıç and Ruben Rubinyan had addressed implementing 2022 understandings. They also examined rehabilitation of Kars–Gyumri railway and electricity interconnection, academic and cultural contacts, scholarships and restoration of Ani’s historical bridge. These discussions were a normalisation agenda, not confirmation all construction or connections were operational. [1] [2]
Special representatives
Kılıç and Rubinyan held their sixth meeting in Yerevan on 12 September 2025. They agreed to continue without preconditions and examined transport, energy and academic and cultural contacts. [2]
What merchandise trade shows
In 2025, merchandise trade between the two countries (Türkiye and Armenia) totalled 10.4 million current USD. Shipments from the first to the second were 4.4 million; those in the opposite direction, 6 million. The difference between the two flows was 1.6 million, in favour of Armenia. This is a goods balance, not the total balance of the economic relationship: it excludes services, income and transfers. Both directions come from a single customs reporter to avoid adding mirror records. [3]
Five years of trade trends
The consistent series shows 6 million USD in 2021 and 10.4 million in 2025. The change between the two endpoints was +73.1 % in current dollars. The highest annual value in the period was recorded in 2023, at 25.9 million. The chart allows the two directions to be compared to see whether they moved together or differently. The change combines quantities, prices and exchange rates; it is not automatically attributed to a treaty, a visit or a political decision. The same reporter is retained and missing years are not interpolated. [3]
Documented trade sectors
Within the selected chapters, machinery and mechanical appliances stands out in shipments from Türkiye to Armenia, at 3.3 million USD in 2025. Within the selected chapters, electrical and electronic equipment stands out in shipments from Armenia to Türkiye, at 0.000427 million USD in 2025. The table compares eight selected chapters with the same coverage as the trade total. It is not a complete list or proof that the first item in this selection is the leading product across the entire relationship. A chapter groups numerous goods: machinery and components, for example, do not describe a single business transaction. [4]
Sources and data
Periods and scope of the figures
Institutional sources and periods accompany each figure. Annual trade, investment positions, residents and visits are distinct measures. Empty cells do not mean zero. Statements of intent are not presented as project implementation or treaties in force.
- Bilateral relations — TUR-ARM
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Türkiye · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07
- Bilateral relations — TUR-ARM
abuja-emb.mfa.gov.tr · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07
- UN Comtrade annual data; reused verified primary payload, not re-downloaded
UN Comtrade · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-08
- Bounded matrix; reporter, partner, year, chapter and direction identified in each record
UN Comtrade · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-08
- NY.GDP.MKTP.CD; 2023–2025; country and period preserved; no military series
World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07
- NY.GDP.MKTP.CD; ISO and reference year; no military dataset expansion
World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07
- SP.POP.TOTL; 2023–2025; country and period preserved; no military series
World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07
- SP.POP.TOTL; ISO and reference year; no military dataset expansion
World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07
Additional sources on products and human connections
- UN Comtrade
2026-10-08 · Accessed: 2026-10-08 · Bounded matrix; reporter, partner, year, chapter and direction identified in each record.