THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Afghanistan → United States

This score represents Afghanistan's relationship toward United States. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

AFG → USA-21Competitive95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
USA → AFG-21CompetitiveSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security-15

2 documented factors produce the -15 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +25Exceptional security integration during the NATO mission
    Baseline rule · 2015

    In 2015 the United States maintained unusually deep operational and security involvement with the Afghan government.

  2. -40Taliban takeover ends ordinary government relations
    Active event · 2021

    The fall of the Afghan government, U.S. withdrawal and suspension of embassy operations ended the 2015 security and diplomatic framework; the United States does not recognize the Taliban as Afghanistan's government.

Diplomacy-35

2 documented factors produce the -35 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Standing bilateral dialogue
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Senior diplomatic and security channels regularly coordinated the bilateral agenda in 2015.

  2. -45Taliban takeover ends ordinary government relations
    Active event · 2021

    The fall of the Afghan government, U.S. withdrawal and suspension of embassy operations ended the 2015 security and diplomatic framework; the United States does not recognize the Taliban as Afghanistan's government.

Economic-15

1 documented factor produce the -15 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -15Taliban takeover ends ordinary government relations
    Active event · 2021

    The fall of the Afghan government, U.S. withdrawal and suspension of embassy operations ended the 2015 security and diplomatic framework; the United States does not recognize the Taliban as Afghanistan's government.

Coverage gap: 2015 reporter-side trade remained below the frozen threshold or was unavailable, and no qualifying standing bilateral economic institution was evidenced.

Alignment-55

2 documented factors produce the -55 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  2. -25Taliban takeover ends ordinary government relations
    Active event · 2021

    The fall of the Afghan government, U.S. withdrawal and suspension of embassy operations ended the 2015 security and diplomatic framework; the United States does not recognize the Taliban as Afghanistan's government.

Disputes+15

1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Managed bilateral relationship
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The two governments had no bilateral territorial claim and managed disagreements through a continuing cooperative framework.

Societal-10

1 documented factor produce the -10 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -10Taliban takeover ends ordinary government relations
    Active event · 2021

    The fall of the Afghan government, U.S. withdrawal and suspension of embassy operations ended the 2015 security and diplomatic framework; the United States does not recognize the Taliban as Afghanistan's government.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish a national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+8 in 2015 → -21 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

-29

Taliban takeover ends ordinary government relations

The fall of the Afghan government, U.S. withdrawal and suspension of embassy operations ended the 2015 security and diplomatic framework; the United States does not recognize the Taliban as Afghanistan's government.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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