Australia → Timor-Leste
This score represents Australia's relationship toward Timor-Leste. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen security rule for the 2015 baseline.
1 documented factor produce the +10 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Australia and Timor-Leste settle their maritime boundaryActive event · 2018
The parties signed a permanent maritime-boundary treaty through UNCLOS conciliation, resolving the delimitation dispute on an agreed basis.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen bilateral diplomatic rule for the 2015 baseline.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable.
1 documented factor produce the +15 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
2 documented factors produce the +15 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- -50Unresolved Timor Sea maritime boundaryBaseline rule · 2015
Australia and Timor-Leste had not yet agreed their permanent maritime boundary in the 2015 baseline; the later treaty expressly settled that delimitation dispute.
- +65Australia and Timor-Leste settle their maritime boundaryActive event · 2018
The parties signed a permanent maritime-boundary treaty through UNCLOS conciliation, resolving the delimitation dispute on an agreed basis.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.
-8 in 2015 → +7 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
Australia → Timor-Leste and Timor-Leste → Australia remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Australia and Timor-Leste settle their maritime boundary
The parties signed a permanent maritime-boundary treaty through UNCLOS conciliation, resolving the delimitation dispute on an agreed basis.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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