THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

China → Bhutan

This score represents China's relationship toward Bhutan. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

CHN → BTN-4Mixed68% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
BTN → CHN-4MixedSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish a frozen mutual-defence or exceptional-security rule.

Diplomacy-5

2 documented factors produce the -5 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -15Serious unresolved political friction
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The reviewed official record supports the frozen serious unresolved political friction criterion for China and Bhutan in 2015.

  2. +10Three-step boundary-negotiation roadmap signed
    Active event · 2021

    The roadmap advances boundary negotiations and the diplomatic-relations process without resolving either issue.

Economic0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: 2015 reporter trade was below the frozen threshold or unavailable, and no qualifying bilateral economic institution was evidenced.

Disputes-35

2 documented factors produce the -35 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -50Unresolved territorial or boundary dispute
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The reviewed official record supports the frozen unresolved territorial or boundary dispute criterion for China and Bhutan in 2015.

  2. +15Three-step boundary-negotiation roadmap signed
    Active event · 2021

    The roadmap advances boundary negotiations and the diplomatic-relations process without resolving either issue.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

-8 in 2015 → -4 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+4

Three-step boundary-negotiation roadmap signed

The roadmap advances boundary negotiations and the diplomatic-relations process without resolving either issue.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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