THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

China → Russia

This score represents China's relationship toward Russia. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

CHN → RUS+47Partner95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
RUS → CHN+43Partner4-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+25

1 documented factor produce the +25 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +25New-era strategic coordination deepens
    Active event · 2022

    The leaders expand strategic, economic, security and global-governance coordination in a wide-ranging joint statement.

Coverage gap: The reviewed 2015 record documents extensive strategic-security coordination, but no frozen v1 positive Security rule matched a non-allied partnership without an operational bilateral guardrail.

Diplomacy+73

5 documented factors produce the +73 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +17.9State visit deepens strategic coordination
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The presidents issued a detailed joint statement covering bilateral, regional and global cooperation.

  2. +9Dense standing bilateral mechanisms
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The statement records continuing leader, government, legislative, regional and sectoral cooperation mechanisms.

  3. +31.4Comprehensive strategic partnership is a foreign-policy priority
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Both governments identify deepening the comprehensive strategic partnership of coordination as a continuing foreign-policy priority.

  4. +10New-era strategic coordination deepens
    Active event · 2022

    The leaders expand strategic, economic, security and global-governance coordination in a wide-ranging joint statement.

  5. +5Friendship treaty extended
    Active event · 2026

    The leaders extend the bilateral treaty and sign twenty cooperation documents across trade, education, science and technology.

Economic+53

4 documented factors produce the +53 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +13.4Institutional economic and energy cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The joint statement documents standing mechanisms and concrete projects across trade, investment, energy, transport and technology.

  2. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  3. +15New-era strategic coordination deepens
    Active event · 2022

    The leaders expand strategic, economic, security and global-governance coordination in a wide-ranging joint statement.

  4. +5Friendship treaty extended
    Active event · 2026

    The leaders extend the bilateral treaty and sign twenty cooperation documents across trade, education, science and technology.

Alignment+79

4 documented factors produce the +79 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +9Sustained multilateral coordination
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The statement commits the countries to coordinate across the UN, BRICS, SCO, G20 and multiple regional security questions.

  2. +44.8Broad strategic alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Joint commitments cover national security, foreign-policy coordination and the international order across multiple theatres.

  3. +15United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  4. +10New-era strategic coordination deepens
    Active event · 2022

    The leaders expand strategic, economic, security and global-governance coordination in a wide-ranging joint statement.

Societal+23

2 documented factors produce the +23 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +17.9National youth and media exchange programmes
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The statement expands the China–Russia Youth Friendly Exchange Years and prepares a national media exchange year.

  2. +5Friendship treaty extended
    Active event · 2026

    The leaders extend the bilateral treaty and sign twenty cooperation documents across trade, education, science and technology.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+31 in 2015 → +47 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+14

New-era strategic coordination deepens

The leaders expand strategic, economic, security and global-governance coordination in a wide-ranging joint statement.

+2

Friendship treaty extended

The leaders extend the bilateral treaty and sign twenty cooperation documents across trade, education, science and technology.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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