THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

China → São Tomé and Príncipe

This score represents China's relationship toward São Tomé and Príncipe. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

CHN → STP+24Cooperative79% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
STP → CHN+24CooperativeSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish a frozen mutual-defence or exceptional-security rule.

Diplomacy+55

3 documented factors produce the +55 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -15Serious unresolved political friction
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The reviewed official record supports the frozen serious unresolved political friction criterion for China and São Tomé and Príncipe in 2015.

  2. +50Diplomatic relations established or resumed
    Active event · 2016

    The official communiqué records the post-2015 establishment or resumption of ambassador-level diplomatic relations; it is not backdated into the baseline.

  3. +20Strategic partnership established
    Active event · 2024

    The official bilateral record documents the 2024 partnership upgrade without treating it as a military alliance.

Economic+30

2 documented factors produce the +30 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Diplomatic relations established or resumed
    Active event · 2016

    The official communiqué records the post-2015 establishment or resumption of ambassador-level diplomatic relations; it is not backdated into the baseline.

  2. +15Strategic partnership established
    Active event · 2024

    The official bilateral record documents the 2024 partnership upgrade without treating it as a military alliance.

Coverage gap: 2015 reporter trade was below the frozen threshold or unavailable, and no qualifying bilateral economic institution was evidenced.

Alignment+35

3 documented factors produce the +35 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Diplomatic relations established or resumed
    Active event · 2016

    The official communiqué records the post-2015 establishment or resumption of ambassador-level diplomatic relations; it is not backdated into the baseline.

  2. +10Strategic partnership established
    Active event · 2024

    The official bilateral record documents the 2024 partnership upgrade without treating it as a military alliance.

  3. +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Coverage gap: Neither the 2015 UN-vote threshold nor the reviewed record establishes an additional frozen alignment rule.

Disputes+15

1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Diplomatic relations established or resumed
    Active event · 2016

    The official communiqué records the post-2015 establishment or resumption of ambassador-level diplomatic relations; it is not backdated into the baseline.

Coverage gap: The review does not activate an additional frozen territorial, coercion or settled-order rule.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

-3 in 2015 → +24 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

DIRECTIONALITY

0 points

China → São Tomé and Príncipe and São Tomé and Príncipe → China remain independent assessments.

View the reverse direction →
ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+17

Diplomatic relations established or resumed

The official communiqué records the post-2015 establishment or resumption of ambassador-level diplomatic relations; it is not backdated into the baseline.

+8

Strategic partnership established

The official bilateral record documents the 2024 partnership upgrade without treating it as a military alliance.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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