THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

France → Germany

This score represents France's relationship toward Germany. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

FRA → DEU+82Highly aligned95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
DEU → FRA+82Highly alignedSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+95

3 documented factors produce the +95 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +60NATO collective-defence obligation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    France and Germany remained bound by Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.

  2. +15Sixtieth-anniversary declaration expands joint action
    Active event · 2023

    France and Germany broaden cooperation in defence, Ukraine support, industry, energy, climate, transport and cross-border exchange.

  3. +20Bilateral deterrence cooperation deepens
    Active event · 2026

    France and Germany establish a high-level nuclear steering group and concrete cooperation on exercises, early warning, air defence and deep precision strike.

Diplomacy+95

5 documented factors produce the +95 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Joint cabinet meeting coordinates European policy
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The governments coordinated economic reform, investment, European security, climate diplomacy and preparations for the G7 and Paris climate conference.

  2. +10Systematic consultation at every level
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The Élysée Treaty framework maintains regular leader, ministerial, parliamentary, cultural and cross-border institutions.

  3. +35Foundational Franco-German partnership
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Both governments treat the Élysée Treaty relationship as a foundational partnership for bilateral cooperation and European integration.

  4. +20European Union co-membership
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.

  5. +10Sixtieth-anniversary declaration expands joint action
    Active event · 2023

    France and Germany broaden cooperation in defence, Ukraine support, industry, energy, climate, transport and cross-border exchange.

Economic+85

4 documented factors produce the +85 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Institutional economic-policy cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The joint cabinet process produced coordinated proposals on monetary union, reform, investment and European economic policy.

  2. +25European Union co-membership
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.

  3. +35Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  4. +10Sixtieth-anniversary declaration expands joint action
    Active event · 2023

    France and Germany broaden cooperation in defence, Ukraine support, industry, energy, climate, transport and cross-border exchange.

Alignment+100

5 documented factors produce the +100 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +50Broad European and international-policy alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The governments documented aligned action across European integration, security, climate, economic policy and the international order.

  2. +20European Union co-membership
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.

  3. +30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  4. +10Sixtieth-anniversary declaration expands joint action
    Active event · 2023

    France and Germany broaden cooperation in defence, Ukraine support, industry, energy, climate, transport and cross-border exchange.

  5. +5Bilateral deterrence cooperation deepens
    Active event · 2026

    France and Germany establish a high-level nuclear steering group and concrete cooperation on exercises, early warning, air defence and deep precision strike.

The displayed value is limited to the model’s −100 to +100 component range.

Societal+60

3 documented factors produce the +60 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +35Dense cross-border, youth and cultural ties
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Official bilateral institutions support millions of youth exchanges alongside cultural, educational, parliamentary and cross-border cooperation.

  2. +15European Union co-membership
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.

  3. +10Sixtieth-anniversary declaration expands joint action
    Active event · 2023

    France and Germany broaden cooperation in defence, Ukraine support, industry, energy, climate, transport and cross-border exchange.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+67 in 2015 → +82 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+10

Sixtieth-anniversary declaration expands joint action

France and Germany broaden cooperation in defence, Ukraine support, industry, energy, climate, transport and cross-border exchange.

+7

Bilateral deterrence cooperation deepens

France and Germany establish a high-level nuclear steering group and concrete cooperation on exercises, early warning, air defence and deep precision strike.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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