THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Iran → Sweden

This score represents Iran's relationship toward Sweden. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

IRN → SWE-3Mixed59% evidence confidenceDocumented bilateral evidence
SWE → IRN-6Mixed3-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen security rule for the 2015 baseline.

Diplomacy-15

3 documented factors produce the -15 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -15Iran-EU nuclear and sanctions friction
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Iran's relationship with the counterpart was constrained in 2015 by the EU nuclear-sanctions regime and the political dispute surrounding it.

  2. +15JCPOA implementation eases Iran-EU political friction
    Active event · 2016

    Implementation Day lifted the EU's nuclear-related economic sanctions and reduced the central bilateral political dispute.

  3. -15EU restrictions deepen Iran-EU political friction
    Active event · 2023

    Expanded EU restrictive measures connected to human rights, military support and proliferation renewed substantial political friction.

Economic0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable, and no reviewed standing agreement activates another rule.

Alignment0

No baseline rule or active event moves this component away from neutral.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Disputes0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: No qualifying frozen dispute or dispute-settlement rule is activated by the reviewed evidence.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

-3 in 2015 → -3 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+3

JCPOA implementation eases Iran-EU political friction

Implementation Day lifted the EU's nuclear-related economic sanctions and reduced the central bilateral political dispute.

-3

EU restrictions deepen Iran-EU political friction

Expanded EU restrictive measures connected to human rights, military support and proliferation renewed substantial political friction.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →