Nigeria → Niger
This score represents Nigeria's relationship toward Niger. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
1 documented factor produce the +15 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Multinational Joint Task Force security coordinationBaseline rule · 2015
Nigeria and the counterpart operated within the formally coordinated regional force against Boko Haram in 2015.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen bilateral diplomatic rule for the 2015 baseline.
1 documented factor produce the +15 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Shared ECOWAS economic-integration frameworkBaseline rule · 2015
Nigeria and the counterpart participated in ECOWAS's standing trade, free-movement and economic-integration framework in 2015.
3 documented factors produce the +25 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Shared ECOWAS regional frameworkBaseline rule · 2015
Nigeria and the counterpart participated in ECOWAS's standing regional framework for integration, peace, governance and practical cooperation in 2015.
- +30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- -15Counterpart withdraws from ECOWASActive event · 2025
Withdrawal ended shared ECOWAS membership, while transitional arrangements temporarily preserved trade and free-movement treatment.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: No qualifying frozen dispute or dispute-settlement rule is activated by the reviewed evidence.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.
+14 in 2015 → +11 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
Nigeria → Niger and Niger → Nigeria remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Counterpart withdraws from ECOWAS
Withdrawal ended shared ECOWAS membership, while transitional arrangements temporarily preserved trade and free-movement treatment.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →