THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

North Korea → China

This score represents North Korea's relationship toward China. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

PRK → CHN+8Mixed86% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
CHN → PRK+8MixedSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Diplomacy-35

2 documented factors produce the -35 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -15Serious unresolved political friction
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The official bilateral record supports the frozen serious unresolved political friction criterion for China and North Korea in 2015.

  2. -20Nuclear tests bring additional UN sanctions
    Active event · 2017

    China joined the unanimous Security Council response to North Korea's nuclear and missile programme, adding material diplomatic, economic and alignment friction without cancelling the bilateral treaty.

Economic-20

1 documented factor produce the -20 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -20Nuclear tests bring additional UN sanctions
    Active event · 2017

    China joined the unanimous Security Council response to North Korea's nuclear and missile programme, adding material diplomatic, economic and alignment friction without cancelling the bilateral treaty.

Coverage gap: 2015 reporter-side trade was below the frozen threshold or unavailable, and no additional qualifying economic institution was evidenced.

Alignment-5

3 documented factors produce the -5 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  2. -20Nuclear tests bring additional UN sanctions
    Active event · 2017

    China joined the unanimous Security Council response to North Korea's nuclear and missile programme, adding material diplomatic, economic and alignment friction without cancelling the bilateral treaty.

  3. -15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Disputes0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The review does not activate a frozen territorial, coercion or settled-order rule beyond those listed.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+21 in 2015 → +8 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

-11

Nuclear tests bring additional UN sanctions

China joined the unanimous Security Council response to North Korea's nuclear and missile programme, adding material diplomatic, economic and alignment friction without cancelling the bilateral treaty.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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