THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

North Macedonia → Russia

This score represents North Macedonia's relationship toward Russia. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

MKD → RUS-13Competitive95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
RUS → MKD-13CompetitiveSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security-25

1 documented factor produce the -25 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -25North Macedonia joins NATO
    Active event · 2020

    NATO accession placed North Macedonia inside the collective-defence alliance whose practical cooperation with Russia had been suspended.

Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish an additional frozen bilateral security rule or collective-defence obligation.

Diplomacy-15

1 documented factor produce the -15 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -15North Macedonia joins NATO
    Active event · 2020

    NATO accession placed North Macedonia inside the collective-defence alliance whose practical cooperation with Russia had been suspended.

Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish an additional baseline diplomatic institution meeting a frozen threshold.

Economic0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: 2015 reporter-side trade was below the frozen threshold or unavailable, and no additional qualifying economic institution was evidenced.

Disputes+15

1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Managed non-territorial bilateral order
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The official record supports the frozen managed non-territorial bilateral order criterion for Russia and North Macedonia in the 2015 baseline.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+2 in 2015 → -13 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

-15

North Macedonia joins NATO

NATO accession placed North Macedonia inside the collective-defence alliance whose practical cooperation with Russia had been suspended.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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