Portugal → Spain
This score represents Portugal's relationship toward Spain. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
1 documented factor produce the +60 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +60Continuing NATO collective-defence obligationBaseline rule · 2015
Spain and Portugal remained bound by Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty in 2015.
3 documented factors produce the +50 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Leader-level bilateral coordinationBaseline rule · 2015
The 2015 bilateral summit produced joint political, security, economic and European-policy outcomes.
- +10Recurring institutional dialogueBaseline rule · 2015
The established summit format included parallel leader, security and sectoral ministerial channels.
- +20European Union co-membershipBaseline rule · 2015
Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.
4 documented factors produce the +75 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Standing economic cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
Spain and Portugal maintained institutional cooperation on Iberian and European energy interconnection projects.
- +25European Union co-membershipBaseline rule · 2015
Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
2 documented factors produce the +50 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +20European Union co-membershipBaseline rule · 2015
Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.
- +30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish another frozen territorial, coercion or settled-order rule.
1 documented factor produce the +15 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- +15European Union co-membershipBaseline rule · 2015
Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish a bilateral national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.
+47 in 2015 → +50 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
3 points
Portugal → Spain and Spain → Portugal remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
No later scored event is active. The current result remains anchored to the reviewed 2015 baseline and quantitative series.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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