Russia → Belarus
This score represents Russia's relationship toward Belarus. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
1 documented factor produce the +55 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +55.1Continuing collective-defence obligationBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen continuing collective-defence obligation criterion for Russia and Belarus in the 2015 baseline.
1 documented factor produce the +35 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +35Enduring bilateral partnershipBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen enduring bilateral partnership criterion for Russia and Belarus in the 2015 baseline.
3 documented factors produce the +15 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Institutional economic integrationBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen institutional economic integration criterion for Russia and Belarus in the 2015 baseline.
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- -20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
2 documented factors produce the +61 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +46Broad strategic alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen broad strategic alignment criterion for Russia and Belarus in the 2015 baseline.
- +15United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Managed non-territorial bilateral orderBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen managed non-territorial bilateral order criterion for Russia and Belarus in the 2015 baseline.
1 documented factor produce the +20 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- +20National-scale societal exchangeBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen national-scale societal exchange criterion for Russia and Belarus in the 2015 baseline.
+43 in 2015 → +39 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
Russia → Belarus and Belarus → Russia remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
No later scored event is active. The current result remains anchored to the reviewed 2015 baseline and quantitative series.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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