South Africa → Nigeria
This score represents South Africa's relationship toward Nigeria. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not activate a frozen Engine 1.0 security rule beyond any listed or quantitative observation.
3 documented factors produce the +60 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Presidential Bi-National CommissionBaseline rule · 2015
Official records document a recurring presidential-level bilateral mechanism supported by dozens of agreements.
- +35Longstanding strategic partnershipBaseline rule · 2015
The governments officially describe a broad strategic relationship developed over decades.
- +15Presidential commission deepened cooperationActive event · 2024
The eleventh Bi-National Commission advanced political and economic cooperation.
1 documented factor produce the +10 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Presidential commission deepened cooperationActive event · 2024
The eleventh Bi-National Commission advanced political and economic cooperation.
Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not activate a frozen Engine 1.0 economic rule beyond any listed or quantitative observation.
3 documented factors produce the +50 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Shared African peace agendaBaseline rule · 2015
Joint official commitments cover multiple consequential African peace, security and development priorities.
- +30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- +10Presidential commission deepened cooperationActive event · 2024
The eleventh Bi-National Commission advanced political and economic cooperation.
1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Durable cooperative frameworkBaseline rule · 2015
Official records show a managed bilateral order without an active territorial claim and with extensive agreements.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not activate a frozen Engine 1.0 societal rule beyond any listed or quantitative observation.
+18 in 2015 → +24 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
South Africa → Nigeria and Nigeria → South Africa remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Presidential commission deepened cooperation
The eleventh Bi-National Commission advanced political and economic cooperation.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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