Syria → Spain
This score represents Syria's relationship toward Spain. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen security rule for the 2015 baseline.
2 documented factors produce the 0 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- -15Reciprocal diplomatic expulsions and suspended embassy activityBaseline rule · 2015
Spain and Syria reciprocally expelled senior diplomats, while Spain suspended its embassy's normal activity; that unresolved rupture remained material in the 2015 baseline.
- +15Spain supports Syria's political transitionActive event · 2025
Spain welcomed the transitional government and committed to continued European and regional coordination for Syria's stabilisation, marking limited diplomatic re-engagement rather than full normalisation.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable.
1 documented factor produce the +15 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Spain supports Syria's political transitionActive event · 2025
Spain welcomed the transitional government and committed to continued European and regional coordination for Syria's stabilisation, marking limited diplomatic re-engagement rather than full normalisation.
Coverage gap: No additional alignment gap should remain when the quantitative vote rule or documented institution covers this component.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: No qualifying frozen dispute or dispute-settlement rule is activated by the reviewed evidence.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.
-3 in 2015 → +2 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
Syria → Spain and Spain → Syria remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Spain supports Syria's political transition
Spain welcomed the transitional government and committed to continued European and regional coordination for Syria's stabilisation, marking limited diplomatic re-engagement rather than full normalisation.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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