Türkiye → Greece
This score represents Türkiye's relationship toward Greece. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
1 documented factor produce the +60 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +60Shared NATO collective-defence obligationBaseline rule · 2015
Turkiye and the counterpart were parties to the North Atlantic Treaty in 2015, creating the published collective-defence obligation without erasing bilateral disputes.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen bilateral diplomatic rule for the 2015 baseline.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable.
2 documented factors produce the +30 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +15United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
2 documented factors produce the -35 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- -50Unresolved Aegean disputesBaseline rule · 2015
Turkiye and Greece retained unresolved interrelated Aegean maritime and sovereignty questions in 2015.
- +15Standing bilateral dialogue mechanismsBaseline rule · 2015
Political consultations, exploratory contacts and the High-Level Cooperation Council supplied an institutional guardrail for unresolved disputes.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.
+16 in 2015 → +19 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
3 points
Türkiye → Greece and Greece → Türkiye remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
No later scored event is active. The current result remains anchored to the reviewed 2015 baseline and quantitative series.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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