THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Türkiye → Spain

This score represents Türkiye's relationship toward Spain. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

TUR → ESP+37Partner89% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
ESP → TUR+37PartnerSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+60

1 documented factor produce the +60 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +60Continuing NATO collective-defence obligation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Spain and Türkiye remained bound by Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty in 2015.

Diplomacy+25

1 documented factor produce the +25 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +25Bilateral summit establishes a comprehensive partnership
    Active event · 2021

    The summit broadened political, economic, scientific, emergency, cultural and defence cooperation without creating a new defence obligation beyond NATO.

Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish an additional baseline diplomatic institution meeting a frozen threshold.

Economic+40

2 documented factors produce the +40 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  2. +20Bilateral summit establishes a comprehensive partnership
    Active event · 2021

    The summit broadened political, economic, scientific, emergency, cultural and defence cooperation without creating a new defence obligation beyond NATO.

Alignment+40

2 documented factors produce the +40 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  2. +10Bilateral summit establishes a comprehensive partnership
    Active event · 2021

    The summit broadened political, economic, scientific, emergency, cultural and defence cooperation without creating a new defence obligation beyond NATO.

Disputes0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish another frozen territorial, coercion or settled-order rule.

Societal+10

1 documented factor produce the +10 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Bilateral summit establishes a comprehensive partnership
    Active event · 2021

    The summit broadened political, economic, scientific, emergency, cultural and defence cooperation without creating a new defence obligation beyond NATO.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish a bilateral national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+27 in 2015 → +37 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+10

Bilateral summit establishes a comprehensive partnership

The summit broadened political, economic, scientific, emergency, cultural and defence cooperation without creating a new defence obligation beyond NATO.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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