Ukraine → United States
This score represents Ukraine's relationship toward United States. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
3 documented factors produce the +80 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +45Large-scale security assistance beginsActive event · 2022
Ukraine receives extensive U.S. military capabilities after Russia's full-scale invasion.
- +20Ten-year bilateral security agreementActive event · 2024
Ukraine signs an agreement institutionalising long-term defence, reform, recovery and Euro-Atlantic cooperation without mutual defence.
- +15Strategic defence partnership is institutionalisedActive event · 2021
Ukraine and the United States renew their strategic partnership and establish a defence framework covering Black Sea security, cyber defence, intelligence sharing and reform.
Coverage gap: Ukraine received U.S. security assistance in 2015, but no frozen positive Security rule matched assistance below a bilateral defence agreement or mutual-defence commitment.
5 documented factors produce the +95 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Senior bilateral engagement produces support commitmentsBaseline rule · 2015
President Poroshenko and Vice President Biden documented assistance, reform priorities and coordinated policy toward the conflict.
- +35Strategic partnership reaffirmed in practiceBaseline rule · 2015
Official bilateral records describe a continuing strategic partnership spanning sovereignty, reform, security and economic resilience.
- +15Large-scale security assistance beginsActive event · 2022
Ukraine receives extensive U.S. military capabilities after Russia's full-scale invasion.
- +15Ten-year bilateral security agreementActive event · 2024
Ukraine signs an agreement institutionalising long-term defence, reform, recovery and Euro-Atlantic cooperation without mutual defence.
- +10Strategic defence partnership is institutionalisedActive event · 2021
Ukraine and the United States renew their strategic partnership and establish a defence framework covering Black Sea security, cyber defence, intelligence sharing and reform.
4 documented factors produce the +50 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Large-scale security assistance beginsActive event · 2022
Ukraine receives extensive U.S. military capabilities after Russia's full-scale invasion.
- +15Ten-year bilateral security agreementActive event · 2024
Ukraine signs an agreement institutionalising long-term defence, reform, recovery and Euro-Atlantic cooperation without mutual defence.
- +5Strategic defence partnership is institutionalisedActive event · 2021
Ukraine and the United States renew their strategic partnership and establish a defence framework covering Black Sea security, cyber defence, intelligence sharing and reform.
- +20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
Coverage gap: Ukraine-reported bilateral goods trade was below the frozen v1 minimum trade threshold in 2015, and no reviewed institutional-economic rule was activated.
4 documented factors produce the +45 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Coordinated international support for sovereignty and reformBaseline rule · 2015
Ukraine and the United States coordinated across sanctions, Minsk diplomacy, international finance, nonproliferation and democratic reform.
- +20Large-scale security assistance beginsActive event · 2022
Ukraine receives extensive U.S. military capabilities after Russia's full-scale invasion.
- +10Ten-year bilateral security agreementActive event · 2024
Ukraine signs an agreement institutionalising long-term defence, reform, recovery and Euro-Atlantic cooperation without mutual defence.
- +5Strategic defence partnership is institutionalisedActive event · 2021
Ukraine and the United States renew their strategic partnership and establish a defence framework covering Black Sea security, cyber defence, intelligence sharing and reform.
1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Mutual recognition of Ukraine's sovereignty and bordersBaseline rule · 2015
The joint statement reaffirms Ukraine's independence, sovereignty and existing borders within a durable strategic partnership.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed records document civil-society support but not national-scale bilateral exchange meeting a frozen v1 societal rule.
+15 in 2015 → +63 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
12 points
Ukraine → United States and United States → Ukraine remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Large-scale security assistance begins
Ukraine receives extensive U.S. military capabilities after Russia's full-scale invasion.
Ten-year bilateral security agreement
Ukraine signs an agreement institutionalising long-term defence, reform, recovery and Euro-Atlantic cooperation without mutual defence.
Strategic defence partnership is institutionalised
Ukraine and the United States renew their strategic partnership and establish a defence framework covering Black Sea security, cyber defence, intelligence sharing and reform.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →