THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

United States → Philippines

This score represents United States's relationship toward Philippines. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

USA → PHL+35Partner95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
PHL → USA+38Partner3-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+58

2 documented factors produce the +58 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +38.4The 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty anchors the alliance
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty anchors the alliance.

  2. +20Leaders modernize the alliance and expand EDCA
    Active event · 2023

    The leaders reaffirm treaty coverage and expand defence access, economic cooperation and regional coordination.

Diplomacy+52

4 documented factors produce the +52 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +22.4One of the oldest U.S. alliances in Asia
    Baseline rule · 2015

    One of the oldest U.S. alliances in Asia.

  2. +12.8Presidents set maritime, economic and climate priorities
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Presidents set maritime, economic and climate priorities.

  3. +6.4Sustained alliance consultation and implementation channels
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Sustained alliance consultation and implementation channels.

  4. +10Leaders modernize the alliance and expand EDCA
    Active event · 2023

    The leaders reaffirm treaty coverage and expand defence access, economic cooperation and regional coordination.

Economic+40

3 documented factors produce the +40 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +9.6Formal discussion of regional trade integration
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Formal discussion of regional trade integration.

  2. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  3. +10Leaders modernize the alliance and expand EDCA
    Active event · 2023

    The leaders reaffirm treaty coverage and expand defence access, economic cooperation and regional coordination.

Alignment-14

3 documented factors produce the -14 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +6.4Coordination through APEC, ASEAN and maritime law
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Coordination through APEC, ASEAN and maritime law.

  2. -30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  3. +10Leaders modernize the alliance and expand EDCA
    Active event · 2023

    The leaders reaffirm treaty coverage and expand defence access, economic cooperation and regional coordination.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+23 in 2015 → +35 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+12

Leaders modernize the alliance and expand EDCA

The leaders reaffirm treaty coverage and expand defence access, economic cooperation and regional coordination.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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