United States → Sweden
This score represents United States's relationship toward Sweden. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
3 documented factors produce the +100 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +60Sweden joins NATOActive event · 2024
Accession created a formal collective-defence obligation and integrated Sweden into allied deterrence and defence.
- +25Bilateral defence Statement of IntentActive event · 2016
The new framework set a path for deeper defence cooperation, regional deterrence and practical interoperability.
- +20Defense Cooperation Agreement signedActive event · 2023
The DCA established conditions for U.S. forces, access and pre-positioned materiel in Sweden.
The displayed value is limited to the model’s −100 to +100 component range.
Coverage gap: Sweden explicitly remained outside military alliances in 2015; reviewed cooperation did not create a mutual-defence obligation or meet the exceptional-integration rule.
3 documented factors produce the +55 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +35Deep Nordic–U.S. partnershipBaseline rule · 2015
Sweden and the United States jointly reaffirmed a values-based partnership across security, development, climate, trade and international institutions.
- +10Bilateral defence Statement of IntentActive event · 2016
The new framework set a path for deeper defence cooperation, regional deterrence and practical interoperability.
- +10Defense Cooperation Agreement signedActive event · 2023
The DCA established conditions for U.S. forces, access and pre-positioned materiel in Sweden.
1 documented factor produce the +20 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
2 documented factors produce the +70 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +50Broad rules-based international alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
The joint record covers coordinated action on European security, the Arctic, development, human rights, trade and emerging threats.
- +20Sweden joins NATOActive event · 2024
Accession created a formal collective-defence obligation and integrated Sweden into allied deterrence and defence.
1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Durable cooperative bilateral orderBaseline rule · 2015
The governments describe a deep cooperative partnership without an active bilateral territorial dispute.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: No reviewed pre-2015 official record met the frozen national-scale exchange threshold.
+21 in 2015 → +60 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
United States → Sweden and Sweden → United States remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Sweden joins NATO
Accession created a formal collective-defence obligation and integrated Sweden into allied deterrence and defence.
Bilateral defence Statement of Intent
The new framework set a path for deeper defence cooperation, regional deterrence and practical interoperability.
Defense Cooperation Agreement signed
The DCA established conditions for U.S. forces, access and pre-positioned materiel in Sweden.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →