United States → United Arab Emirates
This score represents United States's relationship toward United Arab Emirates. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
2 documented factors produce the +43 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +22.6Deep operational defense and counterterrorism cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
The joint statement documented military operations, exercises, interoperability, missile defense and counterterrorism cooperation.
- +20UAE designated a Major Defense PartnerActive event · 2024
The leaders elevated defense status and expanded cooperation in technology, investment, climate, space and regional security.
4 documented factors produce the +76 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Leader meeting advanced bilateral and regional prioritiesBaseline rule · 2015
The Crown Prince and President reviewed defense, trade, energy and regional security and agreed to deepen cooperation.
- +9Institutionalized political and security consultationsBaseline rule · 2015
The relationship operated through recurring senior political, military and counterterrorism channels.
- +31.6Enduring bilateral partnershipBaseline rule · 2015
The governments formally described a durable bilateral partnership spanning security, commerce, energy and societal links.
- +15UAE designated a Major Defense PartnerActive event · 2024
The leaders elevated defense status and expanded cooperation in technology, investment, climate, space and regional security.
2 documented factors produce the +35 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- +15UAE designated a Major Defense PartnerActive event · 2024
The leaders elevated defense status and expanded cooperation in technology, investment, climate, space and regional security.
3 documented factors produce the +25 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +45.1Broad coordination on regional and global prioritiesBaseline rule · 2015
The partners coordinated across counterterrorism, non-proliferation, regional stability, energy and trade.
- -30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- +10UAE designated a Major Defense PartnerActive event · 2024
The leaders elevated defense status and expanded cooperation in technology, investment, climate, space and regional security.
1 documented factor produce the +14 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +13.5Durable cooperative bilateral orderBaseline rule · 2015
The official joint record describes a stable institutional partnership without an active bilateral territorial claim.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: Official records note education and cultural links but do not quantify the national-scale threshold required by the frozen rule.
+28 in 2015 → +41 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
3 points
United States → United Arab Emirates and United Arab Emirates → United States remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
UAE designated a Major Defense Partner
The leaders elevated defense status and expanded cooperation in technology, investment, climate, space and regional security.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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