THE WORLD, CONNECTEDGeopolitical Relationship Atlas
BILATERAL RELATIONSHIP

Italy and Bulgaria

Italy and Bulgaria have a bilateral framework covering defence, justice, culture and mobility. Educational cooperation includes intensive Italian teaching in Bulgarian schools, while a military facilities agreement entered into force in March 2026.

Analysis reviewed: 2026-10-08 · Indicators updated: 2026-10-08

Bilateral context

The friendship treaty was signed on 9 January 1992 and entered into force on 21 July 1995.

What merchandise trade shows

In 2025, goods trade between Italy and Bulgaria totalled 7,534.7 million current USD.

Documented trade sectors

Within the selected chapters, machinery and mechanical appliances stands out in shipments from Italy to Bulgaria, at 658.4 million USD in 2025.

Bilateral indicators

Blank cells: data unavailable.

Indicators of the relationship between Italy and Bulgaria
IndicatorValuePeriod
Goods trade7,534.74 M USD2025 · Comtrade
Goods: Italy to Bulgaria3,764.88 M USD2025 · Comtrade
Goods: Bulgaria to Italy3,769.87 M USD2025 · Comtrade
Services trade
Export share: Italy to Bulgaria0.518 %2025 · Comtrade
Export share: Bulgaria to Italy
Investment stock: Italy in Bulgaria
Investment stock: Bulgaria in Italy
Definitions and sources

Trade adds both directions. Shares refer to the country’s total goods exports; investment is an accumulated stock, not an annual flow. Every figure retains the currency and period of its source. BEA positions are historical-cost estimates based on the immediate counterpart, not market values or investment by ultimate owner. ‘More than’ indicates a lower bound, not an exact amount. A recorded stock does not establish new activity or authorisation to operate under sanctions.

Goods trade
2025 · UN Comtrade · Goods; full calendar year; reporter ITA. Exports normally FOB and imports CIF; no addition of mirror declarations. Both directions are identified from the same customs authority.
Goods: Italy to Bulgaria
2025 · UN Comtrade · Goods; full calendar year; reporter ITA. Exports normally FOB and imports CIF; no addition of mirror declarations. Both directions are identified from the same customs authority.
Goods: Bulgaria to Italy
2025 · UN Comtrade · Goods; full calendar year; reporter ITA. Exports normally FOB and imports CIF; no addition of mirror declarations. Both directions are identified from the same customs authority.
Export share: Italy to Bulgaria
2025 · UN Comtrade · Exports to the partner / worldwide exports by the same reporter; same year and coverage.

Country comparison

Period and source beside each figure · est. = estimate by the stated institution.

Economic and demographic comparison of Italy and Bulgaria
IndicatorItalyBulgaria
Nominal GDP2.55 trillion USD2025 · WB130.78 billion USD2025 · WB
GDP per capita43,308.64 USD2025 · WB20,328.17 USD2025 · WB
GDP growth0.54 %2025 · WB3.1 %2025 · WB
Policy interest rate2.5 %2026-09-16 · BCE
Inflation · annual average1.53 %Annual average · 2025 · WB4.58 %Annual average · 2025 · WB
Inflation · latest year-on-year figure
Unemployment6.39 %ILO est.2025 · WB3.54 %ILO est.2025 · WB
Budget balance (% of GDP)-3.1 %IMF est.2025 · IMF-3 %IMF est.2025 · IMF
Gross public debt (% of GDP)137.1 %IMF est.2025 · IMF27.1 %IMF est.2025 · IMF
Current account balance (% of GDP)1.15 %2025 · WB-5.84 %2025 · WB
Population58,915,656World Bank est.2025 · WB6,433,302World Bank est.2025 · WB
Area302,070 km²2023 · WB110,997 km²2023 · WB
Military expenditure
Military expenditure (% of GDP)
Definitions, dates and sources

Blank cells are not zero. Average annual inflation and the latest year-on-year figure appear in separate rows: they are not the same measure. Every annual indicator retains its reference year; when the years differ, the figures are identified as not directly comparable. When a figure is unavailable from the World Bank, an annual IMF estimate is used and identified as such. The latest year-on-year figure is the latest official release verified as of 7 October 2026. This includes advance releases marked as provisional. Mexico may have a fortnightly figure before the full month is published; it is not automatically compared with a monthly figure. The publication date is retained in each source’s details; it does not replace the observation period or the annual average. Policy rates carry their own dates and represent different instruments. Spain and France share the ECB rate. Balances are positive for surpluses and negative for deficits. The IMF may use fiscal years; unemployment retains each source’s definition (ILO estimates, IMF WEO or PCBS), as stated in the details. For Palestine, debt and the fiscal balance cover central government and retain the PCBS definition; they are not presented as consolidated general government. These are economic magnitudes, not measures of relationship quality.

Area retains each source’s territorial coverage; it does not determine sovereignty or effective control. Canada uses an archived national geographic reference. Military expenditure retains the 2024 SIPRI sample distributed by the World Bank: the amount and percentage of GDP use that same definition, which differs from NATO’s. It is not an approved budget or a 2026 figure. Information from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). Military expenditure database · Terms of use0

Indicators reviewed: 2026-10-07. Each source retains its original access date; this review does not turn all the data into 2026 observations. Figures may be revised.

Nominal GDP
Current USDItaly: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
GDP per capita
Current USD per personItaly: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
GDP growth
Annual real change (%)Italy: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Policy interest rate
Central bank instrument (%)Italy: 2026-09-16 · ECB: deposit facility; shared euro-area rate · European Central Bank · ECB deposit facility rate, shared by euro-area members; not an independent national rate.
Inflation · annual average
Average annual change in headline CPI (%)Italy: 2025 · Annual average change in the CPI (%) · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.Bulgaria: 2025 · Annual average CPI change (%) · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Inflation · latest year-on-year figure
Headline CPI relative to the same period of the previous year (%); monthly or fortnightly frequency stated
Unemployment
% of the labour force; definition used by the stated institutionItaly: 2025 · ILO modelled estimate; percentage of the labour force · World Bank · ILO est. · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.Bulgaria: 2025 · ILO modelled estimate; percentage of the labour force · World Bank · ILO est. · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Budget balance
General government (% of GDP)Italy: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.Bulgaria: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.
Gross public debt
General government (% of GDP)Italy: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.Bulgaria: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.
Current account balance
% of GDPItaly: 2025 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Population
PeopleItaly: 2025 · World Bank · World Bank est. · Extrapolated estimate identified by the World Bank; not a census for the reference year.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · WB est. · The source indicates an extrapolated population; this is not a census count.
Area
Total area in km²; territorial coverage of the sourceItaly: 2023 · World Bank · Official World Bank series. Observation year, not download date.Bulgaria: 2023 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Military expenditure
Current USD per year; SIPRI series
Military expenditure (% of GDP)
Percentage of GDP; SIPRI definition, not NATO’s definition
Other data specific to this relationship

What they buy and sell

Documented selection, not an exhaustive list. Cells without a figure do not mean zero value; some products are identified without a verified amount.

Italy to Bulgaria

2025

Selected products exported from Italy to Bulgaria
Product or sectorValue / share
Machinery and mechanical appliances658.4 M USD2025 · Source
Vehicles and components336 M USD2025 · Source
Electrical and electronic equipment227.6 M USD2025 · Source
Pharmaceutical products111.5 M USD2025 · Source
Meat and edible offal44.5 M USD2025 · Source
Dairy products, eggs and honey36.9 M USD2025 · Source
Mineral fuels and oils27.9 M USD2025 · Source
Metal ores0.822 M USD2025 · Source

Selection of eight chapters, not an exhaustive ranking. Same reporter, year and coverage as the total. Unpublished chapters are not imputed. UN Comtrade

Bulgaria to Italy

2025

Selected products exported from Bulgaria to Italy
Product or sectorValue / share
Electrical and electronic equipment380.4 M USD2025 · Source
Machinery and mechanical appliances283.6 M USD2025 · Source
Pharmaceutical products57.2 M USD2025 · Source
Vehicles and components47 M USD2025 · Source
Mineral fuels and oils18.2 M USD2025 · Source
Dairy products, eggs and honey14.2 M USD2025 · Source
Metal ores6.4 M USD2025 · Source
Meat and edible offal4.4 M USD2025 · Source

Selection of eight chapters, not an exhaustive ranking. Same reporter, year and coverage as the total. Unpublished chapters are not imputed. UN Comtrade

How trade has changed

Billions of current USD · full calendar years

TotalItaly to BulgariaBulgaria to Italy
Goods trade between Italy and BulgariaGoods; full calendar years 2021–2025; same reporter ITA; current USD without inflation adjustment. Complete data in the table following the chart.0246820212022202320242025

Goods; full calendar years 2021–2025; same reporter ITA; current USD without inflation adjustment. UN Comtrade · Accessed: 2026-10-08.

View chart figures
Millions of current USD
PeriodTotalItaly to BulgariaBulgaria to Italy
20216,407.73,075.23,332.5
20227,419.73,400.54,019.2
20237,530.13,640.43,889.7
20247,250.53,608.33,642.2
20257,534.73,764.93,769.9

Connections between people

Education includes 1996 arrangements for Gorna Banja bilingual sections and a 2006 convention on intensive Italian in Sofia, Burgas, Plovdiv and Varna schools. Cultural cooperation also comprises institutes in Sofia and Rome. [1]

Residents, study and travel

Blank cells: data unavailable. Each measure retains its definition and period.

Indicators of human connections between Italy and Bulgaria
IndicatorValuePeriod / source
Residents from Italy living in Bulgaria
Residents from Bulgaria living in Italy
Study and training: Italy in Bulgaria
Study and training: Bulgaria in Italy
Academic stays: Italy in Bulgaria
Academic stays: Bulgaria in Italy
Travel: Italy to Bulgaria
Travel: Bulgaria to Italy
What each figure measures

Residents are counted by nationality and the coverage of the stated register, not as people born in the other country or as new arrivals in one year. PERE includes dual nationals and people born outside Spain. Study with OPT and stays carrying academic credit are different measures. Travel may include several visits by the same person; FRONTUR arrivals require an overnight stay, whereas the Canadian survey includes day visits. These figures are neither added together nor automatically compared across directions.

Mobility data added or reviewed: 2026-10-07. Reference periods may be earlier.

Underlying ties

History, institutions and long-standing issues.

Bilateral context

The friendship treaty was signed on 9 January 1992 and entered into force on 21 July 1995. The diplomatic list updated in August 2026 records anti-drug cooperation since 1989, defence since 1995 and readmission since 1998. [1]

The scale of both economies

Nominal GDP for Italy is 2,551.6 billion USD (2025), compared with 130.8 for Bulgaria (2025). The reference populations are 58.92 and 6.43 million, respectively. In the same year, the economy of Italy was 19.51 times that of Bulgaria in nominal GDP. The comparison provides context on market size, but does not, on its own, measure influence, well-being or diplomatic closeness. Estimates and their sources retain their labels in the tables. [5] [6] [7] [8]

Recent developments

Recent developments and latest available data · Review: 2026-10-08

Cooperation and bilateral issues

The Kabile military structures agreement, signed on 23 December 2025, has applied since 6 March 2026. Education includes 1996 arrangements for Gorna Banja bilingual sections and a 2006 convention on intensive Italian in Sofia, Burgas, Plovdiv and Varna schools. Reciprocal driving licence recognition was signed in July 2005 and entered into force in January 2006. Cultural cooperation also comprises institutes in Sofia and Rome. [1]

What merchandise trade shows

In 2025, merchandise trade between the two countries (Italy and Bulgaria) totalled 7,534.7 million current USD. Shipments from the first to the second were 3,764.9 million; those in the opposite direction, 3,769.9 million. The difference between the two flows was 5 million, in favour of Bulgaria. This is a goods balance, not the total balance of the economic relationship: it excludes services, income and transfers. Both directions come from a single customs reporter to avoid adding mirror records. [2]

The partner's share of exports

Sales from Italy to the partner represented 0.518% of its worldwide goods exports in 2025. The share compares the same reporter, year and coverage. It measures export concentration, not the percentage of GDP dependent on this relationship. A partner may be important in a specific sector even if its share of total goods trade is small. [2]

Five years of trade trends

The consistent series shows 6,407.7 million USD in 2021 and 7,534.7 million in 2025. The change between the two endpoints was +17.6 % in current dollars. The highest annual value in the period was recorded in 2025, at 7,534.7 million. The chart allows the two directions to be compared to see whether they moved together or differently. The change combines quantities, prices and exchange rates; it is not automatically attributed to a treaty, a visit or a political decision. The same reporter is retained and missing years are not interpolated. [3]

Documented trade sectors

Within the selected chapters, machinery and mechanical appliances stands out in shipments from Italy to Bulgaria, at 658.4 million USD in 2025. Within the selected chapters, electrical and electronic equipment stands out in shipments from Bulgaria to Italy, at 380.4 million USD in 2025. The table compares eight selected chapters with the same coverage as the trade total. It is not a complete list or proof that the first item in this selection is the leading product across the entire relationship. A chapter groups numerous goods: machinery and components, for example, do not describe a single business transaction. [4]

Sources and data

Periods and scope of the figures

Institutional sources and periods accompany each figure. Annual trade, investment positions, residents and visits are distinct measures. Empty cells do not mean zero. Statements of intent are not presented as project implementation or treaties in force.

  1. Bilateral relations — ITA-BGR

    ambsofia.esteri.it · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-08

  2. Bounded matrix; reporter, partner, year, chapter and direction identified in each record

    UN Comtrade · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-08

  3. Trade series 2021–2025

    UN Comtrade · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-08

  4. Bounded matrix; reporter, partner, year, chapter and direction identified in each record

    UN Comtrade · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-08

  5. NY.GDP.MKTP.CD; ISO and reference year; no military dataset expansion

    World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07

  6. Official series — gdp

    World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07

  7. SP.POP.TOTL; ISO and reference year; no military dataset expansion

    World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07

  8. Official series — population

    World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07

Additional sources on products and human connections
  • UN Comtrade

    2026-10-08 · Accessed: 2026-10-08 · Bounded matrix; reporter, partner, year, chapter and direction identified in each record.