THE WORLD, CONNECTEDGeopolitical Relationship Atlas
BILATERAL RELATIONSHIP

Romania and Bulgaria

Romania and Bulgaria develop police and border cooperation through a joint plan signed in 2024. Their institutions coordinate land, river and maritime patrols, exchange information and conduct operations against migrant smuggling and drugs, with regular monitoring of measures.

Analysis reviewed: 2026-10-08 · Indicators updated: 2026-10-08

Bilateral context

Interior ministry teams met by videoconference on 10 September 2024 under Bogdan Despescu's and Miroslav Rashkov's coordination.

What merchandise trade shows

In 2025, goods trade between Romania and Bulgaria totalled 11,595 million current USD.

Documented trade sectors

Within the selected chapters, mineral fuels and oils stands out in shipments from Romania to Bulgaria, at 989.9 million USD in 2025.

Bilateral indicators

Blank cells: data unavailable.

Indicators of the relationship between Romania and Bulgaria
IndicatorValuePeriod
Goods trade11,594.97 M USD2025 · Comtrade
Goods: Romania to Bulgaria4,714.05 M USD2025 · Comtrade
Goods: Bulgaria to Romania6,880.92 M USD2025 · Comtrade
Services trade
Export share: Romania to Bulgaria
Export share: Bulgaria to Romania
Investment stock: Romania in Bulgaria
Investment stock: Bulgaria in Romania
Definitions and sources

Trade adds both directions. Shares refer to the country’s total goods exports; investment is an accumulated stock, not an annual flow. Every figure retains the currency and period of its source. BEA positions are historical-cost estimates based on the immediate counterpart, not market values or investment by ultimate owner. ‘More than’ indicates a lower bound, not an exact amount. A recorded stock does not establish new activity or authorisation to operate under sanctions.

Goods trade
2025 · UN Comtrade · Goods; full calendar year; reporter ROU. Both directions come from the same verified customs document, not from adding mirror declarations together. Exports generally FOB; imports generally CIF.
Goods: Romania to Bulgaria
2025 · UN Comtrade · Goods; full calendar year; reporter ROU. Both directions come from the same verified customs document, not from adding mirror declarations together. Exports generally FOB; imports generally CIF.
Goods: Bulgaria to Romania
2025 · UN Comtrade · Goods; full calendar year; reporter ROU. Both directions come from the same verified customs document, not from adding mirror declarations together. Exports generally FOB; imports generally CIF.

Country comparison

Period and source beside each figure · est. = estimate by the stated institution.

Economic and demographic comparison of Romania and Bulgaria
IndicatorRomaniaBulgaria
Nominal GDP428.68 billion USD2025 · WB130.78 billion USD2025 · WB
GDP per capita22,537.95 USD2025 · WB20,328.17 USD2025 · WB
GDP growth0.68 %2025 · WB3.1 %2025 · WB
Policy interest rate
Inflation · annual average7.19 %Annual average · 2025 · WB4.58 %Annual average · 2025 · WB
Inflation · latest year-on-year figure
Unemployment5.99 %ILO est.2025 · WB3.54 %ILO est.2025 · WB
Budget balance (% of GDP)-7.6 %IMF est.2025 · IMF-3 %IMF est.2025 · IMF
Gross public debt (% of GDP)60.6 %IMF est.2025 · IMF27.1 %IMF est.2025 · IMF
Current account balance (% of GDP)-7.9 %2025 · WB-5.84 %2025 · WB
Population19,020,2712025 · WB6,433,302World Bank est.2025 · WB
Area238,400 km²2023 · WB110,997 km²2023 · WB
Military expenditure
Military expenditure (% of GDP)
Definitions, dates and sources

Blank cells are not zero. Average annual inflation and the latest year-on-year figure appear in separate rows: they are not the same measure. Every annual indicator retains its reference year; when the years differ, the figures are identified as not directly comparable. When a figure is unavailable from the World Bank, an annual IMF estimate is used and identified as such. The latest year-on-year figure is the latest official release verified as of 7 October 2026. This includes advance releases marked as provisional. Mexico may have a fortnightly figure before the full month is published; it is not automatically compared with a monthly figure. The publication date is retained in each source’s details; it does not replace the observation period or the annual average. Policy rates carry their own dates and represent different instruments. Spain and France share the ECB rate. Balances are positive for surpluses and negative for deficits. The IMF may use fiscal years; unemployment retains each source’s definition (ILO estimates, IMF WEO or PCBS), as stated in the details. For Palestine, debt and the fiscal balance cover central government and retain the PCBS definition; they are not presented as consolidated general government. These are economic magnitudes, not measures of relationship quality.

Area retains each source’s territorial coverage; it does not determine sovereignty or effective control. Canada uses an archived national geographic reference. Military expenditure retains the 2024 SIPRI sample distributed by the World Bank: the amount and percentage of GDP use that same definition, which differs from NATO’s. It is not an approved budget or a 2026 figure. Information from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). Military expenditure database · Terms of use0

Indicators reviewed: 2026-10-07. Each source retains its original access date; this review does not turn all the data into 2026 observations. Figures may be revised.

Nominal GDP
Current USDRomania: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
GDP per capita
Current USD per personRomania: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
GDP growth
Annual real change (%)Romania: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Policy interest rate
Central bank instrument (%)
Inflation · annual average
Average annual change in headline CPI (%)Romania: 2025 · Annual average CPI change (%) · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.Bulgaria: 2025 · Annual average CPI change (%) · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Inflation · latest year-on-year figure
Headline CPI relative to the same period of the previous year (%); monthly or fortnightly frequency stated
Unemployment
% of the labour force; definition used by the stated institutionRomania: 2025 · ILO modelled estimate; percentage of the labour force · World Bank · ILO est. · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.Bulgaria: 2025 · ILO modelled estimate; percentage of the labour force · World Bank · ILO est. · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Budget balance
General government (% of GDP)Romania: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.Bulgaria: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.
Gross public debt
General government (% of GDP)Romania: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.Bulgaria: 2025 · IMF · IMF est. · WEO general-government estimate, % of GDP. Not an observed balance for the current month.
Current account balance
% of GDPRomania: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Population
PeopleRomania: 2025 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.Bulgaria: 2025 · World Bank · WB est. · The source indicates an extrapolated population; this is not a census count.
Area
Total area in km²; territorial coverage of the sourceRomania: 2023 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.Bulgaria: 2023 · World Bank · Annual World Bank observation, with its original year; not monthly data.
Military expenditure
Current USD per year; SIPRI series
Military expenditure (% of GDP)
Percentage of GDP; SIPRI definition, not NATO’s definition
Other data specific to this relationship

What they buy and sell

Documented selection, not an exhaustive list. Cells without a figure do not mean zero value; some products are identified without a verified amount.

Romania to Bulgaria

2025

Selected products exported from Romania to Bulgaria
Product or sectorValue / share
Mineral fuels and oils989.9 M USD2025 · Source
Electrical and electronic equipment353.7 M USD2025 · Source
Machinery and mechanical appliances237.8 M USD2025 · Source
Vehicles and components186.9 M USD2025 · Source
Pharmaceutical products135.2 M USD2025 · Source
Meat and edible offal84 M USD2025 · Source
Dairy products, eggs and honey60.6 M USD2025 · Source
Metal ores1.2 M USD2025 · Source

Selection of eight chapters, not an exhaustive ranking. Same reporter, year and coverage as the total. Unpublished chapters are not imputed. UN Comtrade

Bulgaria to Romania

2025

Selected products exported from Bulgaria to Romania
Product or sectorValue / share
Mineral fuels and oils2,571.2 M USD2025 · Source
Machinery and mechanical appliances431 M USD2025 · Source
Electrical and electronic equipment382.6 M USD2025 · Source
Vehicles and components204.2 M USD2025 · Source
Pharmaceutical products111 M USD2025 · Source
Dairy products, eggs and honey38.7 M USD2025 · Source
Meat and edible offal17.6 M USD2025 · Source
Metal ores1.2 M USD2025 · Source

Selection of eight chapters, not an exhaustive ranking. Same reporter, year and coverage as the total. Unpublished chapters are not imputed. UN Comtrade

How trade has changed

Billions of current USD · full calendar years

TotalRomania to BulgariaBulgaria to Romania
Goods trade between Romania and BulgariaGoods; full calendar years 2021–2025; same reporter ROU; current USD without inflation adjustment. Complete data in the table following the chart.0510152020212022202320242025

Goods; full calendar years 2021–2025; same reporter ROU; current USD without inflation adjustment. UN Comtrade · Accessed: 2026-10-08.

View chart figures
Millions of current USD
PeriodTotalRomania to BulgariaBulgaria to Romania
20218,410.83,459.54,951.2
202213,126.43,763.29,363.2
202310,327.44,178.36,149.1
202410,526.14,447.16,079.1
202511,5954,714.16,880.9

Connections between people

Police, border guards, immigration and anti-corruption structures participated. The communication describes rapid information exchange and joint patrols at land borders, on the Danube and at sea, alongside operations in both territories against migrant smuggling and drugs. [1]

Residents, study and travel

Blank cells: data unavailable. Each measure retains its definition and period.

Indicators of human connections between Romania and Bulgaria
IndicatorValuePeriod / source
Residents from Romania living in Bulgaria
Residents from Bulgaria living in Romania
Study and training: Romania in Bulgaria
Study and training: Bulgaria in Romania
Academic stays: Romania in Bulgaria
Academic stays: Bulgaria in Romania
Travel: Romania to Bulgaria
Travel: Bulgaria to Romania
What each figure measures

Residents are counted by nationality and the coverage of the stated register, not as people born in the other country or as new arrivals in one year. PERE includes dual nationals and people born outside Spain. Study with OPT and stays carrying academic credit are different measures. Travel may include several visits by the same person; FRONTUR arrivals require an overnight stay, whereas the Canadian survey includes day visits. These figures are neither added together nor automatically compared across directions.

Mobility data added or reviewed: 2026-10-07. Reference periods may be earlier.

Underlying ties

History, institutions and long-standing issues.

The scale of both economies

Nominal GDP for Romania is 428.7 billion USD (2025), compared with 130.8 for Bulgaria (2025). The reference populations are 19.02 and 6.43 million, respectively. In the same year, the economy of Romania was 3.28 times that of Bulgaria in nominal GDP. The comparison provides context on market size, but does not, on its own, measure influence, well-being or diplomatic closeness. Estimates and their sources retain their labels in the tables. [4] [5]

Recent developments

Recent developments and latest available data · Review: 2026-10-08

Bilateral context

Interior ministry teams met by videoconference on 10 September 2024 under Bogdan Despescu's and Miroslav Rashkov's coordination. Police, border guards, immigration and anti-corruption structures participated. [1]

Cooperation and bilateral issues

They reviewed implementation of the Romanian–Bulgarian action plan signed in June that year. The communication describes rapid information exchange and joint patrols at land borders, on the Danube and at sea, alongside operations in both territories against migrant smuggling and drugs. Summer road transit management measures were also assessed. At the time, one political aim was eliminating internal land controls; this formulation belongs to September 2024 and must not be read as describing the subsequent border regime. Operational cooperation is the central established fact. [1]

What merchandise trade shows

In 2025, merchandise trade between the two countries (Romania and Bulgaria) totalled 11,595 million current USD. Shipments from the first to the second were 4,714.1 million; those in the opposite direction, 6,880.9 million. The difference between the two flows was 2,166.9 million, in favour of Bulgaria. This is a goods balance, not the total balance of the economic relationship: it excludes services, income and transfers. Both directions come from a single customs reporter to avoid adding mirror records. [2]

Five years of trade trends

The consistent series shows 8,410.8 million USD in 2021 and 11,595 million in 2025. The change between the two endpoints was +37.9 % in current dollars. The highest annual value in the period was recorded in 2022, at 13,126.4 million. The chart allows the two directions to be compared to see whether they moved together or differently. The change combines quantities, prices and exchange rates; it is not automatically attributed to a treaty, a visit or a political decision. The same reporter is retained and missing years are not interpolated. [2]

Documented trade sectors

Within the selected chapters, mineral fuels and oils stands out in shipments from Romania to Bulgaria, at 989.9 million USD in 2025. Within the selected chapters, mineral fuels and oils stands out in shipments from Bulgaria to Romania, at 2,571.2 million USD in 2025. The table compares eight selected chapters with the same coverage as the trade total. It is not a complete list or proof that the first item in this selection is the leading product across the entire relationship. A chapter groups numerous goods: machinery and components, for example, do not describe a single business transaction. [3]

Sources and data

Periods and scope of the figures

Institutional sources and periods accompany each figure. Annual trade, investment positions, residents and visits are distinct measures. Empty cells do not mean zero. Statements of intent are not presented as project implementation or treaties in force.

  1. Bilateral relations — ROU-BGR

    www.mai.gov.ro · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-08

  2. UN Comtrade annual data; reused verified primary payload, not re-downloaded

    UN Comtrade · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-08

  3. Bounded matrix; reporter, partner, year, chapter and direction identified in each record

    UN Comtrade · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-08

  4. Official series — gdp

    World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07

  5. Official series — population

    World Bank · Institutional source · Accessed: 2026-10-07

Additional sources on products and human connections
  • UN Comtrade

    2026-10-08 · Accessed: 2026-10-08 · Bounded matrix; reporter, partner, year, chapter and direction identified in each record.