THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Italy → United States

This score represents Italy's relationship toward United States. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

ITA → USA+55Partner95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
USA → ITA+55PartnerSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+84

2 documented factors produce the +84 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +60Continuing NATO collective-defence obligation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Italy and the United States remained bound by Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.

  2. +24.4Deep operational security cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The leaders documented close coordination across Ukraine, counter-ISIL operations and Mediterranean security, supported by a long-standing U.S. military presence in Italy.

Diplomacy+44

2 documented factors produce the +44 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +34.2One of the closest and strongest alliances
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Both leaders described a durable partnership linking Europe and the United States across security and prosperity.

  2. +10Strategic alliance expands into energy and technology
    Active event · 2025

    The leaders committed to deeper cooperation on security, energy, trusted technology, space and transatlantic infrastructure.

Economic+45

3 documented factors produce the +45 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  2. +10Strategic alliance expands into energy and technology
    Active event · 2025

    The leaders committed to deeper cooperation on security, energy, trusted technology, space and transatlantic infrastructure.

  3. +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Alignment+59

2 documented factors produce the +59 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +48.8Aligned action across major security questions
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The governments coordinated on Ukraine, Russia sanctions, ISIL, Libya and the international order.

  2. +10Strategic alliance expands into energy and technology
    Active event · 2025

    The leaders committed to deeper cooperation on security, energy, trusted technology, space and transatlantic infrastructure.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+47 in 2015 → +55 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+5

Strategic alliance expands into energy and technology

The leaders committed to deeper cooperation on security, energy, trusted technology, space and transatlantic infrastructure.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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