THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Italy → Vatican City

This score represents Italy's relationship toward Vatican City. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

ITA → VAT+10Cooperative68% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
VAT → ITA+10CooperativeSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen security rule for the 2015 baseline.

Diplomacy+35

1 documented factor produce the +35 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +35Italy-Holy See constitutional diplomatic settlement
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The Lateran framework established durable mutual recognition and a continuing diplomatic relationship between Italy and the Holy See.

Economic0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable, and no reviewed standing agreement activates another rule.

Alignment0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: No additional alignment gap should remain when a quantitative vote rule or documented institution covers this component.

Disputes+15

1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Lateran settlement of Rome and Vatican City
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The Lateran Treaty created the agreed territorial and legal order between Italy and the Holy See that remained in force in 2015.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+10 in 2015 → +10 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

No later scored event is active. The current result remains anchored to the reviewed 2015 baseline and quantitative series.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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