Vietnam → China
This score represents Vietnam's relationship toward China. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
1 documented factor produce the +8 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +8Comprehensive cooperation deepenedActive event · 2026
Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.
Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not activate a frozen Engine 1.0 security rule beyond any listed or quantitative observation.
4 documented factors produce the +25 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +20State visit with bilateral outcomesBaseline rule · 2015
The 2015 state visit produced extensive documented bilateral commitments.
- +10Standing party and state dialoguesBaseline rule · 2015
Multiple senior party, diplomatic and defence mechanisms operated during the baseline year.
- -15Serious maritime differencesBaseline rule · 2015
The joint statement formally recognized unresolved maritime differences requiring careful management.
- +10Comprehensive cooperation deepenedActive event · 2026
Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.
4 documented factors produce the +25 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Institutional economic cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
Standing economic mechanisms produced trade, infrastructure and investment commitments.
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- +10Comprehensive cooperation deepenedActive event · 2026
Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.
- -20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
3 documented factors produce the +33 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Broad multilateral cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
The governments committed to cooperation across ASEAN, regional and international policy areas.
- +15United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- +8Comprehensive cooperation deepenedActive event · 2026
Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.
2 documented factors produce the -35 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- -50Unresolved maritime sovereignty disputeBaseline rule · 2015
Official bilateral language recognizes unresolved maritime sovereignty and boundary questions.
- +15Formal maritime guardrailsBaseline rule · 2015
Negotiations and agreed principles provide formal mechanisms to manage the active dispute.
2 documented factors produce the +30 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- +20National-scale people exchangesBaseline rule · 2015
Official commitments expand education, youth, tourism and cultural exchange.
- +10Comprehensive cooperation deepenedActive event · 2026
Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.
+8 in 2015 → +12 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
3 points
Vietnam → China and China → Vietnam remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Comprehensive cooperation deepened
Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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