THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

China → Vietnam

This score represents China's relationship toward Vietnam. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

CHN → VNM+15Cooperative94% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
VNM → CHN+12Cooperative3-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Diplomacy+25

4 documented factors produce the +25 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20State visit with bilateral outcomes
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The 2015 state visit produced extensive documented bilateral commitments.

  2. +10Standing party and state dialogues
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Multiple senior party, diplomatic and defence mechanisms operated during the baseline year.

  3. -15Serious maritime differences
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The joint statement formally recognized unresolved maritime differences requiring careful management.

  4. +10Comprehensive cooperation deepened
    Active event · 2026

    Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.

Economic+45

3 documented factors produce the +45 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Institutional economic cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Standing economic mechanisms produced trade, infrastructure and investment commitments.

  2. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  3. +10Comprehensive cooperation deepened
    Active event · 2026

    Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.

Alignment+33

3 documented factors produce the +33 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Broad multilateral cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The governments committed to cooperation across ASEAN, regional and international policy areas.

  2. +15United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  3. +8Comprehensive cooperation deepened
    Active event · 2026

    Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.

Disputes-35

2 documented factors produce the -35 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -50Unresolved maritime sovereignty dispute
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Official bilateral language recognizes unresolved maritime sovereignty and boundary questions.

  2. +15Formal maritime guardrails
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Negotiations and agreed principles provide formal mechanisms to manage the active dispute.

Societal+30

2 documented factors produce the +30 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20National-scale people exchanges
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Official commitments expand education, youth, tourism and cultural exchange.

  2. +10Comprehensive cooperation deepened
    Active event · 2026

    Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+8 in 2015 → +15 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+8

Comprehensive cooperation deepened

Current official reporting records deeper political, security, economic and people-to-people cooperation.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →