Armenia → Russia
This score represents Armenia's relationship toward Russia. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
2 documented factors produce the +25 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +60Continuing collective-defence obligationBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen continuing collective-defence obligation criterion for Russia and Armenia in the 2015 baseline.
- -35Armenia suspends participation in the CSTOActive event · 2024
Armenia's suspension materially weakened the operational and diplomatic content of its Russia-centred collective-security relationship.
2 documented factors produce the +15 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +35Enduring bilateral partnershipBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen enduring bilateral partnership criterion for Russia and Armenia in the 2015 baseline.
- -20Armenia suspends participation in the CSTOActive event · 2024
Armenia's suspension materially weakened the operational and diplomatic content of its Russia-centred collective-security relationship.
2 documented factors produce the +50 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Institutional economic integrationBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen institutional economic integration criterion for Russia and Armenia in the 2015 baseline.
- +35Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
2 documented factors produce the -5 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +15United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- -20Armenia suspends participation in the CSTOActive event · 2024
Armenia's suspension materially weakened the operational and diplomatic content of its Russia-centred collective-security relationship.
1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Managed non-territorial bilateral orderBaseline rule · 2015
The official record supports the frozen managed non-territorial bilateral order criterion for Russia and Armenia in the 2015 baseline.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.
+34 in 2015 → +21 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
6 points
Armenia → Russia and Russia → Armenia remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Armenia suspends participation in the CSTO
Armenia's suspension materially weakened the operational and diplomatic content of its Russia-centred collective-security relationship.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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