THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Australia → Indonesia

This score represents Australia's relationship toward Indonesia. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

AUS → IDN+19Cooperative80% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
IDN → AUS+19CooperativeSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+35

2 documented factors produce the +35 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Lombok Treaty security guardrail
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The 2006 Lombok Treaty supplied a standing framework for sovereignty, non-interference and bilateral security cooperation at the 2015 baseline.

  2. +20Indonesia and Australia sign a joint security treaty
    Active event · 2026

    The governments signed a new security treaty to deepen bilateral cooperation and support Indo-Pacific peace and stability.

Diplomacy0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen bilateral diplomatic rule for the 2015 baseline.

Economic+35

2 documented factors produce the +35 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Indonesia-Australia economic partnership enters into force
    Active event · 2020

    The bilateral comprehensive economic partnership entered into force, institutionalizing broader trade and investment cooperation.

  2. +20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable.

Alignment+15

1 documented factor produce the +15 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Coverage gap: No additional alignment gap should remain when a quantitative vote rule or documented institution covers this component.

Disputes0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: No qualifying frozen dispute or dispute-settlement rule is activated by the reviewed evidence.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+5 in 2015 → +19 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+6

Indonesia and Australia sign a joint security treaty

The governments signed a new security treaty to deepen bilateral cooperation and support Indo-Pacific peace and stability.

+2

Indonesia-Australia economic partnership enters into force

The bilateral comprehensive economic partnership entered into force, institutionalizing broader trade and investment cooperation.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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