THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Brazil → United States

This score represents Brazil's relationship toward United States. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

BRA → USA+5Mixed82% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
USA → BRA+3Mixed2-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: Defence dialogue existed, but reviewed evidence did not meet a frozen positive security rule.

Diplomacy+25

4 documented factors produce the +25 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +35Mature partnership grounded in mutual respect and shared interests
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Mature partnership grounded in mutual respect and shared interests.

  2. +10Multiple presidential-level coordination dialogues
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Multiple presidential-level coordination dialogues.

  3. -30Tariffs and political accusations sharply strain relations
    Active event · 2025

    A 40% additional tariff and national-emergency declaration create major current friction.

  4. +10Joint global labor initiative broadens cooperation
    Active event · 2023

    The presidents launched a global initiative built on democracy, climate and labor cooperation.

Economic+15

4 documented factors produce the +15 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Institutional trade, finance and energy cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Institutional trade, finance and energy cooperation.

  2. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  3. -35Tariffs and political accusations sharply strain relations
    Active event · 2025

    A 40% additional tariff and national-emergency declaration create major current friction.

  4. +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Alignment-10

3 documented factors produce the -10 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Joint work on climate, human rights and global governance
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Joint work on climate, human rights and global governance.

  2. -30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  3. +10Joint global labor initiative broadens cooperation
    Active event · 2023

    The presidents launched a global initiative built on democracy, climate and labor cooperation.

Disputes-5

2 documented factors produce the -5 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Disagreements managed within a durable cooperative framework
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Disagreements managed within a durable cooperative framework.

  2. -20Tariffs and political accusations sharply strain relations
    Active event · 2025

    A 40% additional tariff and national-emergency declaration create major current friction.

Societal+25

2 documented factors produce the +25 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20National-scale education, science and youth exchanges
    Baseline rule · 2015

    National-scale education, science and youth exchanges.

  2. +5Joint global labor initiative broadens cooperation
    Active event · 2023

    The presidents launched a global initiative built on democracy, climate and labor cooperation.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+14 in 2015 → +5 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

-15

Tariffs and political accusations sharply strain relations

A 40% additional tariff and national-emergency declaration create major current friction.

+4

Joint global labor initiative broadens cooperation

The presidents launched a global initiative built on democracy, climate and labor cooperation.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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