THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Germany → China

This score represents Germany's relationship toward China. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

DEU → CHN+19Cooperative82% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
CHN → DEU+16Cooperative3-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed 2015 German record documents strategic dialogue but no frozen v1 Security rule matched Germany's non-allied posture toward China.

Diplomacy+52

6 documented factors produce the +52 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Chancellor's visit advances bilateral cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The leaders used Chancellor Merkel's eighth official China visit to advance the bilateral innovation partnership and conclude practical agreements.

  2. +10Standing diplomatic and security dialogue
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The first foreign-policy and security strategic dialogue added to a dense architecture of recurring government channels.

  3. +35Comprehensive strategic partnership remains the bilateral framework
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Both governments continued to implement the comprehensive strategic partnership and its broad intergovernmental action framework.

  4. -25Germany adopts a partner, competitor and systemic-rival strategy
    Active event · 2023

    Germany's China strategy seeks continued cooperation while reducing unilateral dependencies and responding to security and rules-based-order concerns.

  5. +10Leader visit reopens regular consultations
    Active event · 2026

    The governments agree to resume consultations and deepen practical cooperation while openly acknowledging continuing trade and security disagreements.

  6. +2.5Intergovernmental consultations renew cooperation
    Active event · 2023

    The premiers and twenty-two departments agree new cooperation on climate, industry, finance, education and other fields.

Economic+42

5 documented factors produce the +42 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Institutional innovation and economic cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The visit advanced the government-backed innovation partnership and produced documented commercial and policy outcomes.

  2. +35Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  3. -20Germany adopts a partner, competitor and systemic-rival strategy
    Active event · 2023

    Germany's China strategy seeks continued cooperation while reducing unilateral dependencies and responding to security and rules-based-order concerns.

  4. +10Leader visit reopens regular consultations
    Active event · 2026

    The governments agree to resume consultations and deepen practical cooperation while openly acknowledging continuing trade and security disagreements.

  5. +1.9Intergovernmental consultations renew cooperation
    Active event · 2023

    The premiers and twenty-two departments agree new cooperation on climate, industry, finance, education and other fields.

Alignment-9

3 documented factors produce the -9 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Cooperation across international security questions
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The governments committed to joint work on Afghanistan, Syria, UN peacekeeping, Africa and other consequential multilateral issues.

  2. -20Germany adopts a partner, competitor and systemic-rival strategy
    Active event · 2023

    Germany's China strategy seeks continued cooperation while reducing unilateral dependencies and responding to security and rules-based-order concerns.

  3. +1.3Intergovernmental consultations renew cooperation
    Active event · 2023

    The premiers and twenty-two departments agree new cooperation on climate, industry, finance, education and other fields.

Societal+26

3 documented factors produce the +26 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20National education and cultural exchange
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The bilateral framework expands education, language, research, youth and cultural programmes at national scale.

  2. +5Leader visit reopens regular consultations
    Active event · 2026

    The governments agree to resume consultations and deepen practical cooperation while openly acknowledging continuing trade and security disagreements.

  3. +1.3Intergovernmental consultations renew cooperation
    Active event · 2023

    The premiers and twenty-two departments agree new cooperation on climate, industry, finance, education and other fields.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+26 in 2015 → +19 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

-12

Germany adopts a partner, competitor and systemic-rival strategy

Germany's China strategy seeks continued cooperation while reducing unilateral dependencies and responding to security and rules-based-order concerns.

+4

Leader visit reopens regular consultations

The governments agree to resume consultations and deepen practical cooperation while openly acknowledging continuing trade and security disagreements.

+1

Intergovernmental consultations renew cooperation

The premiers and twenty-two departments agree new cooperation on climate, industry, finance, education and other fields.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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