Israel → Lebanon
This score represents Israel's relationship toward Lebanon. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
1 documented factor produce the -40 security assessment.
Why this score?
- -40Unresolved Israel-Lebanon security confrontationBaseline rule · 2015
The Security Council recorded cross-Blue-Line violence and a continuing risk of renewed conflict in 2015.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen bilateral diplomatic rule for the 2015 baseline.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable, and no reviewed standing agreement activates another rule.
2 documented factors produce the -20 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Shared Union for the Mediterranean frameworkBaseline rule · 2015
Israel and the counterpart participated in the standing intergovernmental forum for Euro-Mediterranean dialogue and cooperation in 2015.
- -30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15UNIFIL tripartite and Blue Line mechanismBaseline rule · 2015
The UNIFIL tripartite forum provided a continuing channel to contain incidents and work on outstanding Blue Line issues.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.
-14 in 2015 → -14 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
Israel → Lebanon and Lebanon → Israel remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
No later scored event is active. The current result remains anchored to the reviewed 2015 baseline and quantitative series.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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