Israel → Palestine
This score represents Israel's relationship toward Palestine. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
2 documented factors produce the -25 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Oslo mutual-recognition and negotiation frameworkBaseline rule · 2015
Israel and the PLO maintained mutual recognition and interim security and governance arrangements despite the unresolved conflict.
- -40Entrenched Israeli-Palestinian security conflictBaseline rule · 2015
The 2015 UN record described continuing confrontation and an unresolved conflict requiring a negotiated two-state settlement.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen bilateral diplomatic rule for the 2015 baseline.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable, and no reviewed standing agreement activates another rule.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: No additional alignment gap should remain when a quantitative vote rule or documented institution covers this component.
1 documented factor produce the -80 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- -80Occupation of Palestinian territoryBaseline rule · 2015
The UN record treated the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, as occupied Palestinian territory and documented continuing settlement activity.
1 documented factor produce the -40 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- -40Severe civilian and societal harm from the unresolved conflictBaseline rule · 2015
The 2015 UN record documented serious humanitarian and social consequences of occupation and repeated conflict.
-20 in 2015 → -20 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
Israel → Palestine and Palestine → Israel remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
No later scored event is active. The current result remains anchored to the reviewed 2015 baseline and quantitative series.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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