THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Israel → United States

This score represents Israel's relationship toward United States. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

ISR → USA+65Partner95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
USA → ISR+63Partner2-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+70

4 documented factors produce the +70 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +25Military, intelligence, missile-defense and assistance mechanisms formed exceptional security integration
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Military, intelligence, missile-defense and assistance mechanisms formed exceptional security integration.

  2. +15Jerusalem Declaration broadens the strategic partnership
    Active event · 2022

    The joint declaration expands security, technology, regional and societal cooperation.

  3. +20Ten-year security-assistance memorandum is signed
    Active event · 2016

    The $38bn memorandum deepened long-horizon military assistance and missile-defense planning without creating a mutual-defence treaty.

  4. +10Talks begin on a reciprocal defense-cooperation framework
    Active event · 2026

    The governments open formal talks on joint investment, research, co-production and a successor to the current assistance memorandum.

Coverage gap: No mutual-defence treaty exists, so the frozen treaty rule is not activated despite exceptional integration.

Diplomacy+95

6 documented factors produce the +95 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20The leaders reviewed security cooperation, regional policy and the next assistance framework
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The leaders reviewed security cooperation, regional policy and the next assistance framework.

  2. +10Leader, national-security and defense channels maintained recurring consultation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Leader, national-security and defense channels maintained recurring consultation.

  3. +35Both governments described a deep and enduring strategic partnership
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Both governments described a deep and enduring strategic partnership.

  4. +10Jerusalem Declaration broadens the strategic partnership
    Active event · 2022

    The joint declaration expands security, technology, regional and societal cooperation.

  5. +10Ten-year security-assistance memorandum is signed
    Active event · 2016

    The $38bn memorandum deepened long-horizon military assistance and missile-defense planning without creating a mutual-defence treaty.

  6. +10Talks begin on a reciprocal defense-cooperation framework
    Active event · 2026

    The governments open formal talks on joint investment, research, co-production and a successor to the current assistance memorandum.

Economic+55

4 documented factors produce the +55 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  2. +10Jerusalem Declaration broadens the strategic partnership
    Active event · 2022

    The joint declaration expands security, technology, regional and societal cooperation.

  3. +10Talks begin on a reciprocal defense-cooperation framework
    Active event · 2026

    The governments open formal talks on joint investment, research, co-production and a successor to the current assistance memorandum.

  4. +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Alignment+75

4 documented factors produce the +75 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +50Official records documented aligned regional-security action and a shared international posture
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Official records documented aligned regional-security action and a shared international posture.

  2. +30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  3. +10Jerusalem Declaration broadens the strategic partnership
    Active event · 2022

    The joint declaration expands security, technology, regional and societal cooperation.

  4. -15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Disputes+15

1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Bilateral disagreements operated within a durable cooperative framework without a territorial claim between the states
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Bilateral disagreements operated within a durable cooperative framework without a territorial claim between the states.

Societal+45

2 documented factors produce the +45 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +35Official records documented dense and durable scientific, educational, cultural and citizen ties
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Official records documented dense and durable scientific, educational, cultural and citizen ties.

  2. +10Jerusalem Declaration broadens the strategic partnership
    Active event · 2022

    The joint declaration expands security, technology, regional and societal cooperation.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+40 in 2015 → +65 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+10

Jerusalem Declaration broadens the strategic partnership

The joint declaration expands security, technology, regional and societal cooperation.

+8

Ten-year security-assistance memorandum is signed

The $38bn memorandum deepened long-horizon military assistance and missile-defense planning without creating a mutual-defence treaty.

+7

Talks begin on a reciprocal defense-cooperation framework

The governments open formal talks on joint investment, research, co-production and a successor to the current assistance memorandum.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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