THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Jordan → United States

This score represents Jordan's relationship toward United States. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

JOR → USA+40Partner88% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
USA → JOR+35Partner5-point directional gap
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+40

2 documented factors produce the +40 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +25Deployed U.S. forces and long-running military assistance
    Baseline rule · 2015

    At Jordan's request, roughly 2,000 U.S. personnel, aircraft, artillery, air defense and command systems supported Jordanian security and regional stability.

  2. +15Joint Military Commission advances modernization and interoperability
    Active event · 2022

    The 42nd commission expanded work on security assistance, F-16 modernization, border security and shared regional threats.

Diplomacy+75

4 documented factors produce the +75 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20King's visit produced a multi-year assistance commitment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The leader visit resulted in a memorandum extending substantial annual security assistance through 2017.

  2. +10Long-running senior security coordination
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The governments maintained repeated leader, ministerial and military coordination around a multi-year assistance framework.

  3. +35Long-running strategic partnership
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The official record characterizes the security relationship and assistance commitment as substantial and long-running.

  4. +10Joint Military Commission advances modernization and interoperability
    Active event · 2022

    The 42nd commission expanded work on security assistance, F-16 modernization, border security and shared regional threats.

Economic+35

1 documented factor produce the +35 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +35Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Coverage gap: 2015 reporter-side trade remained below the frozen threshold and no qualifying economic dialogue was evidenced.

Alignment+25

3 documented factors produce the +25 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +50Shared counterterrorism and regional-stability priorities
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Jordan hosted U.S. capabilities and participated in coordinated action supporting counter-ISIL operations and regional stability.

  2. -30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  3. +5Joint Military Commission advances modernization and interoperability
    Active event · 2022

    The 42nd commission expanded work on security assistance, F-16 modernization, border security and shared regional threats.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish a national-scale exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+27 in 2015 → +40 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+8

Joint Military Commission advances modernization and interoperability

The 42nd commission expanded work on security assistance, F-16 modernization, border security and shared regional threats.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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