North Korea → South Korea
This score represents North Korea's relationship toward South Korea. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
3 documented factors produce the -50 security assessment.
Why this score?
- -40Armistice line and heavily militarized divisionBaseline rule · 2015
The Korean Armistice established a military demarcation line and demilitarized zone without a peace treaty, leaving the peninsula divided under opposing armed forces in 2015.
- +15Armistice and demilitarized-zone guardrailBaseline rule · 2015
The armistice supplied formal mechanisms and a buffer zone intended to prevent renewed hostilities despite the unresolved conflict.
- -25Inter-Korean hostility and military provocations intensifyActive event · 2024
Official consultations recorded North Korea's two-belligerent-states position, hostile rhetoric, artillery fire and missile activity alongside its refusal of dialogue.
1 documented factor produce the -15 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- -15Inter-Korean hostility and military provocations intensifyActive event · 2024
Official consultations recorded North Korea's two-belligerent-states position, hostile rhetoric, artillery fire and missile activity alongside its refusal of dialogue.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen bilateral diplomatic rule for the 2015 baseline.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable.
No baseline rule or active event moves this component away from neutral.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
1 documented factor produce the -50 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- -50Unresolved status of the divided Korean PeninsulaBaseline rule · 2015
The armistice halted hostilities but did not settle the political and territorial order of the divided peninsula.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.
-16 in 2015 → -27 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
North Korea → South Korea and South Korea → North Korea remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Inter-Korean hostility and military provocations intensify
Official consultations recorded North Korea's two-belligerent-states position, hostile rhetoric, artillery fire and missile activity alongside its refusal of dialogue.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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