THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

North Korea → United States

This score represents North Korea's relationship toward United States. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

PRK → USA-33Competitive80% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
USA → PRK-33CompetitiveSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security-65

3 documented factors produce the -65 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -40Nuclear and missile programs sustain a severe security rivalry
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The official 2015 record identifies North Korea's nuclear and ballistic-missile programs as a direct and continuing security threat opposed by the United States.

  2. -25Weapons development and Russia cooperation intensify the rivalry
    Active event · 2025

    The official defense assessment records continued nuclear and missile development and expanding Russian support and deployments.

  3. -0Hanoi summit ends without agreement
    Active event · 2019

    The second summit ended without a sanctions or denuclearization agreement, halting the preceding diplomatic momentum.

Diplomacy-25

3 documented factors produce the -25 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -15Deep unresolved nuclear and human-rights confrontation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The parties remained divided by denuclearization, sanctions, proliferation and human-rights disputes with no normalized political relationship.

  2. -10Weapons development and Russia cooperation intensify the rivalry
    Active event · 2025

    The official defense assessment records continued nuclear and missile development and expanding Russian support and deployments.

  3. -0.1Hanoi summit ends without agreement
    Active event · 2019

    The second summit ended without a sanctions or denuclearization agreement, halting the preceding diplomatic momentum.

Economic0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: North Korea-reported 2015 trade is unavailable, so no frozen economic baseline rule is activated.

Alignment-45

2 documented factors produce the -45 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  2. -15Weapons development and Russia cooperation intensify the rivalry
    Active event · 2025

    The official defense assessment records continued nuclear and missile development and expanding Russian support and deployments.

Disputes0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed sources establish a strategic security confrontation but not a direct bilateral territorial or boundary dispute under the frozen rubric.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: No evidence met the frozen threshold for sustained national-scale societal exchange.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

-21 in 2015 → -33 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

-12

Weapons development and Russia cooperation intensify the rivalry

The official defense assessment records continued nuclear and missile development and expanding Russian support and deployments.

0

Hanoi summit ends without agreement

The second summit ended without a sanctions or denuclearization agreement, halting the preceding diplomatic momentum.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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