Poland → United States
This score represents Poland's relationship toward United States. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
3 documented factors produce the +100 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +60Continuing NATO collective-defence obligationBaseline rule · 2015
Poland and the United States remained bound by Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
- +22.3Continuous presence and missile-defence integrationBaseline rule · 2015
The bilateral programme combined a continuous U.S. aviation presence, missile defence, special operations, exercises and capability development.
- +20Enhanced Defense Cooperation AgreementActive event · 2020
The agreement created infrastructure and legal arrangements for a larger enduring U.S. rotational presence and advanced headquarters and combat capabilities in Poland.
The displayed value is limited to the model’s −100 to +100 component range.
2 documented factors produce the +41 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +31.3Security alliance grounded in shared history and valuesBaseline rule · 2015
The official bilateral record describes a comprehensive relationship spanning defence, economic and democratic cooperation.
- +10Enhanced Defense Cooperation AgreementActive event · 2020
The agreement created infrastructure and legal arrangements for a larger enduring U.S. rotational presence and advanced headquarters and combat capabilities in Poland.
2 documented factors produce the +33 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +13.4Standing innovation and commercial cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
Government, business, research and energy channels produced an active bilateral economic agenda.
- +20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
2 documented factors produce the +50 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +44.6Aligned transatlantic security postureBaseline rule · 2015
The governments documented aligned action on NATO collective defence, regional security and Ukraine.
- +5Enhanced Defense Cooperation AgreementActive event · 2020
The agreement created infrastructure and legal arrangements for a larger enduring U.S. rotational presence and advanced headquarters and combat capabilities in Poland.
1 documented factor produce the +13 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +13.4Durable cooperative bilateral orderBaseline rule · 2015
The official record describes disagreements within a settled alliance and no active bilateral territorial claim.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: Historical links are documented, but the reviewed pre-2015 record does not independently establish the frozen exceptional-exchange threshold.
+44 in 2015 → +56 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
Poland → United States and United States → Poland remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement
The agreement created infrastructure and legal arrangements for a larger enduring U.S. rotational presence and advanced headquarters and combat capabilities in Poland.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →