South Africa → United States
This score represents South Africa's relationship toward United States. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: No reviewed evidence activated a frozen positive security rule.
3 documented factors produce the +5 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +35Solid strategic partnership across major civilian fieldsBaseline rule · 2015
Solid strategic partnership across major civilian fields.
- +10Strategic Dialogue and Annual Bilateral ForumBaseline rule · 2015
Strategic Dialogue and Annual Bilateral Forum.
- -40Executive order sharply strains the partnershipActive event · 2025
The United States halted assistance and formally accused South Africa of hostile policies.
3 documented factors produce the +10 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Formal cooperation on trade, investment and energyBaseline rule · 2015
Formal cooperation on trade, investment and energy.
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- -25Executive order sharply strains the partnershipActive event · 2025
The United States halted assistance and formally accused South Africa of hostile policies.
3 documented factors produce the -45 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Cooperation on health, education, energy and nonproliferationBaseline rule · 2015
Cooperation on health, education, energy and nonproliferation.
- -30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- -25Executive order sharply strains the partnershipActive event · 2025
The United States halted assistance and formally accused South Africa of hostile policies.
2 documented factors produce the -5 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Durable relationship with disagreements managed diplomaticallyBaseline rule · 2015
Durable relationship with disagreements managed diplomatically.
- -20Executive order sharply strains the partnershipActive event · 2025
The United States halted assistance and formally accused South Africa of hostile policies.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: No reviewed source met the national-scale exchange rule.
+14 in 2015 → -5 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
South Africa → United States and United States → South Africa remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Executive order sharply strains the partnership
The United States halted assistance and formally accused South Africa of hostile policies.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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