THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

South Korea → Japan

This score represents South Korea's relationship toward Japan. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

KOR → JPN+23Cooperative95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
JPN → KOR+23CooperativeSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+15

2 documented factors produce the +15 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Shuttle diplomacy and structured cooperation resume
    Active event · 2023

    The leaders restore frequent visits and restart bilateral security, strategic and economic-security dialogues.

  2. +5Camp David institutionalises trilateral coordination
    Active event · 2023

    Japan, Korea and the United States establish enduring consultation and cooperation across security, economic resilience and people-to-people ties.

Coverage gap: The reviewed 2015 record documented security coordination, but no bilateral mutual-defence treaty or exceptional integrated command under the frozen rubric.

Diplomacy+40

5 documented factors produce the +40 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20The first bilateral leaders' summit of the administration addressed cooperation and outstanding issues
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The first bilateral leaders' summit of the administration addressed cooperation and outstanding issues.

  2. +10Summit, ministerial and director-general channels produced sustained bilateral consultations
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Summit, ministerial and director-general channels produced sustained bilateral consultations.

  3. -15Historical and claims issues remained serious constraints on bilateral relations
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Historical and claims issues remained serious constraints on bilateral relations.

  4. +20Shuttle diplomacy and structured cooperation resume
    Active event · 2023

    The leaders restore frequent visits and restart bilateral security, strategic and economic-security dialogues.

  5. +5Camp David institutionalises trilateral coordination
    Active event · 2023

    Japan, Korea and the United States establish enduring consultation and cooperation across security, economic resilience and people-to-people ties.

Economic+35

2 documented factors produce the +35 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  2. +15Shuttle diplomacy and structured cooperation resume
    Active event · 2023

    The leaders restore frequent visits and restart bilateral security, strategic and economic-security dialogues.

Coverage gap: Trade crossed the material threshold, but the reviewed record did not justify a separate institutional-economic rule.

Alignment+60

4 documented factors produce the +60 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10The governments coordinated on North Korea and regional security
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The governments coordinated on North Korea and regional security.

  2. +30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  3. +15Shuttle diplomacy and structured cooperation resume
    Active event · 2023

    The leaders restore frequent visits and restart bilateral security, strategic and economic-security dialogues.

  4. +5Camp David institutionalises trilateral coordination
    Active event · 2023

    Japan, Korea and the United States establish enduring consultation and cooperation across security, economic resilience and people-to-people ties.

Disputes-35

2 documented factors produce the -35 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -50The source government maintained an official sovereignty position opposed by the other state
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The source government maintained an official sovereignty position opposed by the other state.

  2. +15The 2015 agreement and continuing consultations created formal mechanisms for managing historical disputes
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The 2015 agreement and continuing consultations created formal mechanisms for managing historical disputes.

Societal+30

2 documented factors produce the +30 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Hundreds of official arts, academic, youth and sports exchange projects operated
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Hundreds of official arts, academic, youth and sports exchange projects operated.

  2. +10Shuttle diplomacy and structured cooperation resume
    Active event · 2023

    The leaders restore frequent visits and restart bilateral security, strategic and economic-security dialogues.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+8 in 2015 → +23 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+12

Shuttle diplomacy and structured cooperation resume

The leaders restore frequent visits and restart bilateral security, strategic and economic-security dialogues.

+3

Camp David institutionalises trilateral coordination

Japan, Korea and the United States establish enduring consultation and cooperation across security, economic resilience and people-to-people ties.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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