THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Spain → Mexico

This score represents Spain's relationship toward Mexico. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

ESP → MEX+6Mixed71% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
MEX → ESP+3Mixed3-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish an additional frozen bilateral security rule or collective-defence obligation.

Diplomacy-4

1 documented factor produce the -4 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. -3.8Head-of-state exclusion triggers a diplomatic protest
    Active event · 2024

    Spain withheld representation from Mexico's presidential inauguration after the Spanish head of state was excluded, while continuing to describe Mexico as a brother country.

Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish an additional baseline diplomatic institution meeting a frozen threshold.

Economic+20

1 documented factor produce the +20 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Coverage gap: 2015 reporter-side trade was below the frozen threshold or unavailable, and no additional qualifying economic institution was evidenced.

Alignment+25

2 documented factors produce the +25 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Sustained multilateral cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Spain and Mexico jointly adopted the Veracruz commitments on education, culture, innovation and Ibero-American cooperation.

  2. +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Disputes0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish another frozen territorial, coercion or settled-order rule.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish a bilateral national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+2 in 2015 → +6 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

-1

Head-of-state exclusion triggers a diplomatic protest

Spain withheld representation from Mexico's presidential inauguration after the Spanish head of state was excluded, while continuing to describe Mexico as a brother country.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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