Tonga → China
This score represents Tonga's relationship toward China. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish a frozen mutual-defence or exceptional-security rule.
1 documented factor produce the +20 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Regional relationship elevated to a comprehensive strategic partnershipActive event · 2018
The official regional record documents the 2018 partnership upgrade without treating it as a military alliance.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish an additional baseline diplomatic institution meeting a frozen threshold.
1 documented factor produce the +15 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Regional relationship elevated to a comprehensive strategic partnershipActive event · 2018
The official regional record documents the 2018 partnership upgrade without treating it as a military alliance.
Coverage gap: 2015 reporter trade was below the frozen threshold or unavailable, and no qualifying bilateral economic institution was evidenced.
3 documented factors produce the +35 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Sustained multilateral cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
The reviewed official record supports the frozen sustained multilateral cooperation criterion for China and Tonga in 2015.
- +15United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- +10Regional relationship elevated to a comprehensive strategic partnershipActive event · 2018
The official regional record documents the 2018 partnership upgrade without treating it as a military alliance.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The review does not activate an additional frozen territorial, coercion or settled-order rule.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.
+4 in 2015 → +12 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
Tonga → China and China → Tonga remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Regional relationship elevated to a comprehensive strategic partnership
The official regional record documents the 2018 partnership upgrade without treating it as a military alliance.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →