Türkiye → Azerbaijan
This score represents Türkiye's relationship toward Azerbaijan. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
1 documented factor produce the +40 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +40Shusha Declaration elevates relations to alliance levelActive event · 2021
The Shusha Declaration formally recorded the parties' decision to elevate their strategic relationship to alliance level.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen security rule for the 2015 baseline.
1 documented factor produce the +35 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +35Institutionalized strategic partnershipBaseline rule · 2015
Frequent high-level contacts and the presidential High-Level Strategic Cooperation Council made the relationship an established strategic partnership by 2015.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: Reporter-side 2015 goods trade does not reach a frozen material-trade threshold, or is unavailable.
1 documented factor produce the +15 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +15United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: No qualifying frozen dispute or dispute-settlement rule is activated by the reviewed evidence.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.
+10 in 2015 → +23 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
5 points
Türkiye → Azerbaijan and Azerbaijan → Türkiye remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Shusha Declaration elevates relations to alliance level
The Shusha Declaration formally recorded the parties' decision to elevate their strategic relationship to alliance level.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →