United Kingdom → China
This score represents United Kingdom's relationship toward China. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish a frozen bilateral security rule or mutual-defence obligation.
2 documented factors produce the +10 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +35Enduring, multi-field diplomatic partnershipBaseline rule · 2015
The official bilateral record supports the frozen enduring, multi-field diplomatic partnership criterion for China and the United Kingdom in 2015.
- -25Hong Kong dispute sharply worsens relationsActive event · 2020
The United Kingdom declared China in breach of the Sino-British Joint Declaration, materially weakening diplomacy and strategic alignment.
4 documented factors produce the +40 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Institutional economic cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
The official bilateral record supports the frozen institutional economic cooperation criterion for China and the United Kingdom in 2015.
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- -10Hong Kong dispute sharply worsens relationsActive event · 2020
The United Kingdom declared China in breach of the Sino-British Joint Declaration, materially weakening diplomacy and strategic alignment.
- +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
2 documented factors produce the -10 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Sustained multilateral cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
The official bilateral record supports the frozen sustained multilateral cooperation criterion for China and the United Kingdom in 2015.
- -20Hong Kong dispute sharply worsens relationsActive event · 2020
The United Kingdom declared China in breach of the Sino-British Joint Declaration, materially weakening diplomacy and strategic alignment.
2 documented factors produce the 0 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Managed and non-territorial bilateral orderBaseline rule · 2015
The official bilateral record supports the frozen managed and non-territorial bilateral order criterion for China and the United Kingdom in 2015.
- -15Hong Kong dispute sharply worsens relationsActive event · 2020
The United Kingdom declared China in breach of the Sino-British Joint Declaration, materially weakening diplomacy and strategic alignment.
1 documented factor produce the +20 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Strong national-scale people-to-people exchangeBaseline rule · 2015
The official bilateral record supports the frozen strong national-scale people-to-people exchange criterion for China and the United Kingdom in 2015.
+17 in 2015 → +7 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
6 points
United Kingdom → China and China → United Kingdom remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Hong Kong dispute sharply worsens relations
The United Kingdom declared China in breach of the Sino-British Joint Declaration, materially weakening diplomacy and strategic alignment.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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