United Kingdom → Spain
This score represents United Kingdom's relationship toward Spain. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
1 documented factor produce the +60 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +60Continuing NATO collective-defence obligationBaseline rule · 2015
Spain and United Kingdom remained bound by Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty in 2015.
3 documented factors produce the +15 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +20European Union co-membershipBaseline rule · 2015
Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.
- +15Gibraltar treaty creates a practical cooperation frameworkActive event · 2026
The treaty removes the border fence and establishes cooperation on movement, trade, taxation, environment and social guarantees while leaving the sovereignty claim unresolved.
- -20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish an additional baseline diplomatic institution meeting a frozen threshold.
4 documented factors produce the +30 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +25European Union co-membershipBaseline rule · 2015
Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- +10Gibraltar treaty creates a practical cooperation frameworkActive event · 2026
The treaty removes the border fence and establishes cooperation on movement, trade, taxation, environment and social guarantees while leaving the sovereignty claim unresolved.
- -25Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
3 documented factors produce the +40 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +20European Union co-membershipBaseline rule · 2015
Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.
- +15United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- +5Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
2 documented factors produce the -35 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- -50Unresolved Gibraltar sovereignty disputeBaseline rule · 2015
The 2015 official record documented the unresolved Spain–United Kingdom sovereignty question over Gibraltar.
- +15Gibraltar treaty creates a practical cooperation frameworkActive event · 2026
The treaty removes the border fence and establishes cooperation on movement, trade, taxation, environment and social guarantees while leaving the sovereignty claim unresolved.
2 documented factors produce the 0 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- +15European Union co-membershipBaseline rule · 2015
Shared EU law, institutions and market integration add a defined structural package.
- -15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish a bilateral national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.
+29 in 2015 → +28 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
United Kingdom → Spain and Spain → United Kingdom remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Gibraltar treaty creates a practical cooperation framework
The treaty removes the border fence and establishes cooperation on movement, trade, taxation, environment and social guarantees while leaving the sovereignty claim unresolved.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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