United States → Ethiopia
This score represents United States's relationship toward Ethiopia. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
3 documented factors produce the +2 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +22.4Strong regional counterterrorism and peacekeeping cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
Strong regional counterterrorism and peacekeeping cooperation.
- -35Tigray conflict and human-rights abuses damage relationsActive event · 2021
War, humanitarian-access restrictions and documented abuses created severe bilateral friction.
- +15Pretoria agreement opens a partial recoveryActive event · 2023
U.S. support for implementation restores a diplomatic channel while accountability remains incomplete.
5 documented factors produce the +43 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +31.4Strong partnership across regional security and developmentBaseline rule · 2015
Strong partnership across regional security and development.
- +17.9First sitting U.S. presidential visit produced bilateral outcomesBaseline rule · 2015
First sitting U.S. presidential visit produced bilateral outcomes.
- +9Regular security, development and economic consultationsBaseline rule · 2015
Regular security, development and economic consultations.
- -35Tigray conflict and human-rights abuses damage relationsActive event · 2021
War, humanitarian-access restrictions and documented abuses created severe bilateral friction.
- +20Pretoria agreement opens a partial recoveryActive event · 2023
U.S. support for implementation restores a diplomatic channel while accountability remains incomplete.
2 documented factors produce the -7 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +13.4Formal investment and development cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
Formal investment and development cooperation.
- -20Tigray conflict and human-rights abuses damage relationsActive event · 2021
War, humanitarian-access restrictions and documented abuses created severe bilateral friction.
Coverage gap: 2015 goods trade was below the frozen quantitative threshold.
4 documented factors produce the -36 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +9Joint regional peace and African Union engagementBaseline rule · 2015
Joint regional peace and African Union engagement.
- -30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- -25Tigray conflict and human-rights abuses damage relationsActive event · 2021
War, humanitarian-access restrictions and documented abuses created severe bilateral friction.
- +10Pretoria agreement opens a partial recoveryActive event · 2023
U.S. support for implementation restores a diplomatic channel while accountability remains incomplete.
1 documented factor produce the +13 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +13.4Longstanding diplomatic order without a bilateral territorial disputeBaseline rule · 2015
Longstanding diplomatic order without a bilateral territorial dispute.
1 documented factor produce the -10 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- -10Tigray conflict and human-rights abuses damage relationsActive event · 2021
War, humanitarian-access restrictions and documented abuses created severe bilateral friction.
Coverage gap: No reviewed source met the national-scale exchange rule.
+20 in 2015 → +5 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
United States → Ethiopia and Ethiopia → United States remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Tigray conflict and human-rights abuses damage relations
War, humanitarian-access restrictions and documented abuses created severe bilateral friction.
Pretoria agreement opens a partial recovery
U.S. support for implementation restores a diplomatic channel while accountability remains incomplete.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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