United States → Germany
This score represents United States's relationship toward Germany. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
2 documented factors produce the +75 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +60NATO collective-defence obligationBaseline rule · 2015
The United States and Germany remained bound by Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
- +15Long-range fires deployment agreedActive event · 2024
The governments agree to deploy advanced U.S. conventional capabilities in Germany as part of European integrated deterrence.
3 documented factors produce the +65 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Leaders coordinate on security and prosperityBaseline rule · 2015
The White House meeting produced documented coordination on Ukraine, counterterrorism, trade, climate and the G7 agenda.
- +35Germany identified as one of the strongest U.S. alliesBaseline rule · 2015
The official bilateral account describes Germany as one of the United States' strongest allies and a partner for close coordination across major policy areas.
- +10Close and trusted partnership reaffirmedActive event · 2024
The leaders document unusually close coordination on Ukraine, transatlantic security and the international order.
1 documented factor produce the +35 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +35Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
3 documented factors produce the +65 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +50Broad transatlantic strategic alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
The leaders documented aligned action on Russia's aggression, coalition security, trade, climate and shared international goals.
- +5Long-range fires deployment agreedActive event · 2024
The governments agree to deploy advanced U.S. conventional capabilities in Germany as part of European integrated deterrence.
- +10Close and trusted partnership reaffirmedActive event · 2024
The leaders document unusually close coordination on Ukraine, transatlantic security and the international order.
1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Durable cooperative bilateral orderBaseline rule · 2015
The official bilateral account describes a close alliance with managed policy coordination and no active territorial claim.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: No frozen v1 baseline rule was activated because the reviewed 2015 official records did not quantify national-scale societal exchange.
+47 in 2015 → +56 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
United States → Germany and Germany → United States remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Long-range fires deployment agreed
The governments agree to deploy advanced U.S. conventional capabilities in Germany as part of European integrated deterrence.
Close and trusted partnership reaffirmed
The leaders document unusually close coordination on Ukraine, transatlantic security and the international order.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →