THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

United States → Kenya

This score represents United States's relationship toward Kenya. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

USA → KEN+33Cooperative95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
KEN → USA+36Partner3-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+45

2 documented factors produce the +45 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +25Deep operational counterterrorism and regional-security partnership
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Deep operational counterterrorism and regional-security partnership.

  2. +20Kenya becomes a major non-NATO ally
    Active event · 2024

    The designation recognizes a close security relationship without creating a mutual-defence treaty.

Diplomacy+65

4 documented factors produce the +65 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +35Solid relationship grounded in shared values and outcomes
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Solid relationship grounded in shared values and outcomes.

  2. +10Leader and sectoral consultation across security and development
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Leader and sectoral consultation across security and development.

  3. +10Kenya becomes a major non-NATO ally
    Active event · 2024

    The designation recognizes a close security relationship without creating a mutual-defence treaty.

  4. +10Bilateral Strategic Dialogue is launched
    Active event · 2019

    The annual framework consolidates cooperation across four major pillars.

Economic+25

2 documented factors produce the +25 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Joint entrepreneurship, investment and development initiatives
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Joint entrepreneurship, investment and development initiatives.

  2. +10Bilateral Strategic Dialogue is launched
    Active event · 2019

    The annual framework consolidates cooperation across four major pillars.

Coverage gap: 2015 goods trade was below the frozen quantitative threshold.

Alignment-10

3 documented factors produce the -10 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Regional counterterrorism and governance cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Regional counterterrorism and governance cooperation.

  2. -30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  3. +10Bilateral Strategic Dialogue is launched
    Active event · 2019

    The annual framework consolidates cooperation across four major pillars.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+19 in 2015 → +33 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+8

Kenya becomes a major non-NATO ally

The designation recognizes a close security relationship without creating a mutual-defence treaty.

+5

Bilateral Strategic Dialogue is launched

The annual framework consolidates cooperation across four major pillars.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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