THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

United States → Oman

This score represents United States's relationship toward Oman. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

USA → OMN+31Cooperative95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
OMN → USA+34Cooperative3-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+40

2 documented factors produce the +40 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +25Long-running operational defense cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The U.S.-GCC framework documented basing, exercises, information sharing and training, building on the bilateral military cooperation agreement maintained since 1980.

  2. +15Joint Military Commission expands maritime and border cooperation
    Active event · 2024

    The premier bilateral forum advanced training, exercises, maritime awareness, border security and regional coordination.

Diplomacy+55

3 documented factors produce the +55 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Standing strategic and defense consultations
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Oman participated in recurring Gulf security mechanisms alongside established bilateral military consultations.

  2. +35One of the region's oldest U.S. partnerships
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The relationship rests on an 1833 friendship treaty and continuous close defense ties since 1980.

  3. +10Joint Military Commission expands maritime and border cooperation
    Active event · 2024

    The premier bilateral forum advanced training, exercises, maritime awareness, border security and regional coordination.

Economic0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: 2015 reporter-side trade remained below the frozen threshold and the reviewed record did not establish qualifying economic-dialogue outcomes.

Alignment+25

3 documented factors produce the +25 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +50Shared regional-security agenda
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The partners coordinated on maritime security, counterterrorism and regional stability while preserving Oman's independent diplomacy.

  2. -30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  3. +5Joint Military Commission expands maritime and border cooperation
    Active event · 2024

    The premier bilateral forum advanced training, exercises, maritime awareness, border security and regional coordination.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish a national-scale exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+23 in 2015 → +31 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+8

Joint Military Commission expands maritime and border cooperation

The premier bilateral forum advanced training, exercises, maritime awareness, border security and regional coordination.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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