THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

United States → Pakistan

This score represents United States's relationship toward Pakistan. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

USA → PAK+9Mixed95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
PAK → USA+12Cooperative3-point gap · not analytically meaningful
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+10

3 documented factors produce the +10 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +25Institutionalized defense and counterterrorism cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The joint statement documented defense consultations, military exchanges, exercises and sustained counterterrorism cooperation.

  2. -25Most U.S. security assistance suspended
    Active event · 2018

    The United States suspended most security assistance over inadequate action against militant and terrorist groups, while narrower counterterrorism cooperation continued.

  3. +10Cooperation consolidates around civilian, economic and counterterrorism priorities
    Active event · 2022

    The bilateral agenda retained counterterrorism and border-security work while expanding trade, investment, health, climate, development and people-to-people programs.

Diplomacy+15

5 documented factors produce the +15 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Leader visit produced a broad joint agenda
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The leaders reached documented outcomes on security, nuclear risk, energy, trade, education and regional policy.

  2. +10Strategic Dialogue and ministerial working groups
    Baseline rule · 2015

    A recurring Strategic Dialogue operated through specialized working groups and defense consultations.

  3. -15Serious unresolved concerns over militant groups
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The joint statement recorded continuing U.S. concerns and commitments concerning terrorist groups operating from Pakistani territory.

  4. -10Most U.S. security assistance suspended
    Active event · 2018

    The United States suspended most security assistance over inadequate action against militant and terrorist groups, while narrower counterterrorism cooperation continued.

  5. +10Cooperation consolidates around civilian, economic and counterterrorism priorities
    Active event · 2022

    The bilateral agenda retained counterterrorism and border-security work while expanding trade, investment, health, climate, development and people-to-people programs.

Economic+30

2 documented factors produce the +30 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Institutional economic and energy cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The Strategic Dialogue included economic, finance and energy working groups with concrete investment and market-access initiatives.

  2. +15Cooperation consolidates around civilian, economic and counterterrorism priorities
    Active event · 2022

    The bilateral agenda retained counterterrorism and border-security work while expanding trade, investment, health, climate, development and people-to-people programs.

Societal+30

2 documented factors produce the +30 societal assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Large education and professional exchange architecture
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Official programs included the world's largest Fulbright cohort and extensive university and professional exchanges.

  2. +10Cooperation consolidates around civilian, economic and counterterrorism priorities
    Active event · 2022

    The bilateral agenda retained counterterrorism and border-security work while expanding trade, investment, health, climate, development and people-to-people programs.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+11 in 2015 → +9 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

-10

Most U.S. security assistance suspended

The United States suspended most security assistance over inadequate action against militant and terrorist groups, while narrower counterterrorism cooperation continued.

+8

Cooperation consolidates around civilian, economic and counterterrorism priorities

The bilateral agenda retained counterterrorism and border-security work while expanding trade, investment, health, climate, development and people-to-people programs.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →